Blogito, ergo sum (with apologies to Descartes).  This mostly-for-fun blog is written in a freeform stream-of-consciousness manner (a polite way of saying "uncoordinated, unstructured and unedited") and represents a dialogue between Yhos and the quasi-holy triumvirate of me, myself and I (making just enough for bridge) while we are reading the newspapers and the blogs in the order they are encountered during the day.  It touches base on just about anything and everything that catches my interest...yes, even those things out in left field.  And, okay, sometimes I get too serious, although I try to avoid that whenever I can.  Everything you see expressed herein is the current opinion of the four of us (although some civilizing effort by my wife is acknowledged) and subject to change upon sober reflection, however unlikely some friends tell me that seems to be going to happen.  Guiding editorial philosophy: what you do should be fun.  Guiding investigative reporter philosophy: cui bono?  My best advice for you folks out there: caveat lector.  Also keep in mind Mama Docia's warning: "Why, they'll just tell you anything!"

For comments, address: gregg@blogitoergosum.net.  I am not accepting blind posts from the general public at this time because four unmedicated idiots already posting here are sufficient.  However, if you do choose to write me an interesting letter, it is hereby understood that I am free to edit and publish and respond to it in an appropriate manner.  Good ones may or may not appear in a future "Letters To 'Gregg Who?' Column".  Maybe it will be called "The Ether Vibrates"...and maybe it won't.

 
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 ∙ Updated 12-12-06
 ∙ Updated 12-17-07 

 ∙ Updated 12-31-06

 ∙ Updated 01-09-07
  
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  CyberLink DVD Suite 7

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Ultimatum

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VACATION

 

October 2009

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2010
February

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Belated Updates:

02-25-10
02-26-10
02-27-10
02-28-10
03-01-10
03-02-10


3 March 2010, a Wednesday

The New York Times stands ready to prevent you its own one-sided view of the climate fracas:

Ralph J. Cicerone, president of the National Academy of Sciences, the most prestigious scientific body in the United States, said that there was a danger that the distrust of climate science could mushroom into doubts about scientific inquiry more broadly. He said that scientists must do a better job of policing themselves and trying to be heard over the loudest voices on cable news, talk radio and the Internet.

"This is a pursuit that scientists have not had much experience in," said Dr. Cicerone, a specialist in atmospheric chemistry.

Listening to him you might imagine that theses and papers never have to be defended or that peer review consists of only "yup, yup, he’s right"...which may indeed be part of the problem.

The embarrassing "stolen" emails reveal quite clearly that the group was quite willing to redefine the meaning of peer review and to also select which journals should and should not be allowed to join in some reviews.

The battle is asymmetric, in the sense that scientists feel compelled to support their findings with careful observation and replicable analysis, while their critics are free to make sweeping statements condemning their work as fraudulent.

And isn’t that too bad for scientists? They "feel compelled"? No, they ARE REQUIRED to support their findings with careful observation and replicable analysis, and this would be true if they had no critics at all. This makes it sound like critics have an unfair advantage and are compelling scientists to do their work according to normal and ordinary scientific standards.

"We have to do a better job of explaining that there is always more to learn, always uncertainties to be addressed," said John P. Holdren, an environmental scientist and the White House science adviser. "But we also need to remind people that the occasions where a large consensus is overturned by a scientific heretic are very, very rare."

Another attempt to convince you that scientists who disagree are both "heretics" and small in number. It’s a subtle variation on the "consensus has been reached" theme. Ditto the repeated "very" to suggest that possibly they might even be disregarded entirely, there are so few.

But several of science’s leading lights, Dr Hansen of NASA and Dr Mann of the infamous "hockey stick" have been caught repeatedly in misinterpretations, and even the NYT omits Dr Jones’ doctorate as it reports:

"I have obviously written some very awful e-mails," Phil Jones, the British climate scientist at the center of the controversy, confessed to a special committee of Parliament on Monday. But he sharply disputed charges that he had hidden data or faked results.

I can’t recall for certain, but I believe he may have been the one who wrote that he hoped some critics never discovered that Britain had a FOIA act and that he would destroy his data before he would turn it over as a result of such a request.

Indeed, the CRU says now that they can’t find or don’t have all of the original data...had to make room in the old file cabinets, don’t you know?

No scientific body is under more hostile scrutiny than the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which compiles the climate research of hundreds of scientists around the globe into periodic reports intended to be the definitive statement of the science and a guide for policy makers. Critics, citing several relatively minor errors in its most recent report and charges of conflict of interest against its leader, Rajendra K. Pachauri, are calling for the I.P.C.C. to be disbanded or radically reformed.

On Saturday, after weeks of refusing to engage critics, the I.P.C.C. announced that it was asking for the creation of an independent panel to review its research procedures to try to eliminate bias and errors from future reports. But even while allowing for some external oversight, Dr. Pachauri insisted that the panel stood behind its previous work.

"Scientists must continually earn the public’s trust or we risk descending into a new Dark Age where ideology trumps reason," Dr. Pachauri said in an e-mail message.

Dr Pachauri, who has retained his title in the NYT’s eyes, is the man who referred to the work of a prominent Indian scientist who disagreed with Dr Pachauri’s warning of "Himalayan glaciers melted by 2035" as...get this..."voodoo science"!

Now he says scientists must earn the public’s trust?

The "voodoo science" scientist disagreed with the IPCC’s 2035 scare date because it had come from one single solitary article which was not only non-peer-reviewed but wasn’t even published in a scientific journal in the first place, but a hiking magazine!

The Dark Age where ideology trumps reason is being ushered in by the IPCC and Dr Pachauri, aided by the New York Times. I was rather fond of the way they concluded this item:

...some scientists said that responding to climate change skeptics was a fool’s errand.

"Climate scientists are paid to do climate science," said Gavin A. Schmidt, a senior climatologist with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies. "Their job is not persuading the public."

He said that the recent flurry of hostility to climate science had been driven as much by the cold winter as by any real or perceived scientific sins.

"There have always been people accusing us of being fraudulent criminals, of the I.P.C.C. being corrupt," Dr. Schmidt said. "What is new is this paranoia combined with a spell of cold weather in the United States and the ‘climategate’ release. It’s a perfect storm that has allowed the nutters to control the agenda."

The answer is simple, he said.

"Good science," he said, "is the best revenge."

Nice spin, because "good science" is what the "skeptics" have been demanding all along. The charges brought against the CRU/NASA cabal have been precisely the fact that they AREN’T the result of good science! The famous Dr Hansen of NASA was publicly caught in error on several occasions by a private individual, Steve McIntyre. Dr Schmidt, a member of both NASA and GISS, knows that Dr Hansen has made public speaking appearances numbered well up into the hundreds, if not thousands, even as he piously says his job was not to persuade the public! Apparently Dr Schmidt failed to inform Dr Hansen on that point.

The "spell of cold weather" in the United States is only the latest round in what the now (Dr) Jones acknowledges as there being no real evidence of global warming for over a dozen years, something another CRU scientist, Dr Trenberth, described their failure to be able to show as a travesty.

Good science will be a fine revenge, indeed, but for the skeptics, who hope that future issuances by the IPCC will not highlight Dr Mann’s subsequently discredited "hockey stick" graph or feature "rapidly melting Himalayan glaciers" discovered from someone reading a non-scientific and thus non-peer-reviewed popular newsstand magazine.

A number of institutions are beginning efforts to improve the quality of their science and to make their work more transparent. The official British climate agency is undertaking a complete review of its temperature data and will make its records and analysis fully public for the first time, allowing outside scrutiny of methods and conclusions. The United Nations panel on climate change will accept external oversight of its research practices, also for the first time.

How very kind of them to do so, considering the public has been funding them and the institutions are proposing all-encompassing and extremely expensive corrections for something they really aren’t all that certain about, it turns out. Thanks awfully, guys!

And while you’re at it, could we ask one simple favor? Could you avoid deliberately muddying the waters, so to speak, by including too many issues to be adequately understood?

See, the issue is not climate change, we can all agree that happens, and the issue isn’t even global warming, nor is the real issue whether the good doctors deliberately hid or ‘lost’ data which were the subject of FOIA demands, or whether other good doctors forgot about the Medieval Warm Period, or any one of dozens and even hundreds of peripheral issues like petrodollars in the hands of dictators or even fund terrorists getting atomic bombs, or how fast sea levels might rise, how strong hurricanes might get, blah blah blah blah blah.

No, the single issue before us is whether or not anthropogenic carbon dioxide, essentially the sole culprit identified for prosecution and incredibly expensive persecution, is really the CAUSE of global warming this time.

Because everything else is like the misdirection the stage magician creates, the beautiful lightly-clad assistants, the flashing lights, puffs of smoke, pigeons and rabbits appearing out of empty hats, limitless numbers of colored scarves appearing from nowhere, and always the patter, always the chatter.

Read the chatter:

http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/reprint/climategate_analysis.pdf

That will do you for a beginning.

From Media Notes:

At the Weekly Standard, meanwhile, Bill Kristol says the GOP mainly refrained from interfering with the other side's self-destruction:

"Republicans and conservatives don't deserve the bulk of the credit for stopping--or at least significantly slowing down -- Obama before he was able to do as much damage as he intended. Who does?

"(1) President Obama himself. As one wag commented, Obama turned out to be quite an effective community organizer. But the community he organized was a majority of the American people in opposition to his agenda of big-government liberalism.

"(2) Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid. Republicans, facing overwhelming majorities in both houses of Congress, should thank their lucky stars to have squared off against an ideologically blinkered speaker of the House and a short-tempered, incompetent majority leader of the Senate.

"(3) Conservative and independent grassroots activists. It's this simple: No Tea Parties, no defeat of Obamacare. It wasn't just the practical and political effect of the demonstrations across the nation. It was the example of people not being intimidated by elite opinion, the example of their willingness to fight what was supposed to be an inevitable new era of liberal big government, and the enterprise that self-generating and self-organizing activists showed in resisting the Obama agenda. . . .

"4) The American people. . . . Despite their wish for the new president to succeed, they didn't succumb to the temptation--or to the urging of liberal elites--to give him a blank check."

I think both (2) and (3) are quite good. Nancy is arrogance personified, very easy not to like and she’d be skewered regularly if the press wasn’t so liberal and Reid doesn’t seem to be able to hold his tongue much better than Biden can.

And the Democrats and Liberals tried very, very hard to marginalize the Tea Party activists (using "teabaggers" like they more successfully did with "birthers") before they caught on to how many people were actually involved and...gasp...they weren’t all Republicans!

The group on Tuesday released a survey of its findings that revealed that tea party activists are neither "political junkies or crusty right-wing extremists." Almost half the respondents had never been involved with politics prior to 2009.

Yes, they are angry, the survey found.

But the majority also has a strong desire to "stand up for my beliefs," with 90 percent citing that motivation as "very important." Another 70 percent hoped that they had "a positive impact on the country," along with clout in the polling booth: 84 percent said "to influence elections" was also very important to them.

Few want to break out as a solo entity: Eight-out-of-10 are not interested in forming a third political party; 62 percent, in fact, said they were Republicans and 28 percent were independents. Just one-in-10 declared they belonged to the "Tea Party."

That 28% independents number looms quite large, plus another 10% available to vote for one of the two parties who actually have candidates in the races.

Here’s an interesting TV interview of Lord Monckton telling Algore to put up or shut up: http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/lord-monckton-on-pjtv-al-baby-im-coming-after-you/

My money is not on Al.