Blogito, Ergo Sum
by Gregg Calkins
10 April
2008, a Thursday
...and Tony's birthday, which suddenly brings me up short with the realization that I forgot to wish Anthony happy birthday on the 8th. Ah, me, I'm so organized that I forget to look at my organization chart. Sorry, Anthony...and Tyler? You aren't until tomorrow, but I'm taking no chances!
This morning could almost be amusing, watching Maureen Dowd prove that her red hair comes from a bottle and underneath she is blonde as blonde:
They arrived on the heels of the Maliki debacle in Basra, which made it stunningly clear — after a cease-fire was brokered in Iran — that we’re spending $3 trillion as our own economy goes off a cliff so that Iran can have a dysfunctional little friend.
...except, that is, for the fact that a certain number are going to read her and believe, no matter how unlikely they should, that she knows what she is talking about. Maureen, unfortunately for them, is a shock-jock columnist of the Don Imus school, print version.
Maliki proved some very important points to his Sunni compatriots, very important. Understanding this would be better left to one of the other NYT columnists, of course. What's that? The sports columnists? Now, now, be kind. Frank Rich? Hmmm...maybe Maureen isn't so bad, after all.
Maliki proved to the Sunni that he's willing to go after criminals of the Shia militia variety, even if they represent a former political supporter of his. A significant move. Maureen forgets, or, more likely, didn't know that her fellow American critics had been criticizing Maliki for a couple of years now for failing to act against the Shia militias. Now that he finally has, she is, predictably enough, against it.
And despite the way the MSM misreported it, perhaps deliberately, it was al-Sadr who called for the cease-fire. Far from being brokered in Iran, it was ordered by Iran when they saw far too many of their cohorts being slaughtered by Iraqi government forces, assisted by the U.S. military.
But even if it had been brokered in Iran, having the Liberals been crying plaintively that what we need in Iraq is a dialogue and cooperation with Iran?
Of course we have. And now, predictably, they are complaining about precisely that.
It's one reason why we should never listen to Liberals; they'll be against anything that you do, even if it is what they were arguing for only moments before. It's why they can vote for or against something one moment, then reverse course the next and vote against or for.
And when pressed, they will claim they were fooled by a moron. Or perhaps even an idiot.
What's that? I'm too hard on poor Maureen? Well, let's continue...
I like General Petraeus’s air of restrained competence and Ambassador Crocker’s air of wry world-weariness. But now they seem swallowed up by the fresh violence and ancient tribal antagonisms that they were supposed to be overcoming.
You see? She sees ancient tribal antagonisms when the Shia prime minister orders largely Shia troops to remove Shia militias from control of Basra. Apparently she wasn't paying that close attention.
Iraq was formed an elected national government. The Shia militias who had taken control of Basra were not part of it. Thus, they were common criminals.
But maybe I am dissing the redhead unfairly:
A confused Chuck Hagel asked the pair: “So, where’s the surge? What are we doing? I don’t see Secretary Rice doing any Kissinger-esque flying around. Where is the diplomatic surge? ... So, where is the surge? What are you talking about?”
This is one of our self-admitted genius senators who is confused this time...and more than he knows. Basra was not part of the surge. The surge was under the command of American forces and General Petraeus. Basra had been under the command of British forces.
Oh. Uh...er...no wonder Hagel is confused, he probably didn't know there even were Brits over there.
It’s hard to follow the narrative of our misadventure in Iraq. We went in to help the Shiites that we betrayed in the first Gulf War shake off their Sunni tormentors. But then, predictably for everyone except the chuckleheaded W. and Cheney, the Shiites began tormenting the Sunnis. So we put 90,000 Sunni Sons of Iraq — some of the same ones who were exploding American soldiers — on our payroll so they’d stop shooting at Americans and helping Al Qaeda. Our troops have gone from policing a Sunni-Shiite civil war to policing a Shiite-Shiite power struggle, while Osama bin Laden plots in peace as Al Qaeda in Iraq distracts us and drains our military resources.
I have to laugh at a chuckleheaded reporter pointing and laughing at people less impaired than she is. Aside from the fact that going in to help people you previously betrayed would be a noble act of redemption, the Shia did not begin tormenting the Sunni. In fact, and I wrote about this before, they behaved with remarkable restraint, all things considered. But it was the intent of al-Qaeda to provoke a civil war in Iraq--this they said quite publicly, so you don't have to take my word for it--and finally committed the heinous act of blowing up the Golden Dome, one of the most-sacred of Shia places. The Shia militias under al-Sadr were created for defensive purposes, as a result, in order to protect the Shia from continuing attack by the Sunni al-Qaeda. Oh.
And as critics have likewise surged forward to claim, the Sons of Iraq were formed up and fighting al-Qaeda before our surge came along...remember that claim, chucklehead? The argument then went that the surge did not produce the Sunni revolt against al-Qaeda, America wasn't responsible for creating it, it was home-grown.
Remember? Oh...er...yeah...
So now we're paying them for continuing that effort, plus no longer fighting Americans...and Maureen is now complaining about THAT? She's a dilly, even for a chucklehead.
And are we policing a Shia-Shia power struggle (only moments ago she called it tribal, remember) or are we aiding the forces of an elected government versus an unauthorized and armed militia loyal to one man, and, perhaps also to Iran? If so, isn't our support of a legitimate elected democratic government the honorable thing to do?
Honor, Maureen asks...what's that?
Osama bin Laden is plotting in peace, which we could interrupt only if we were willing to unilaterally invade Pakistan, something she now apparently would favor, and apparently al-Qaeda in Iraq exists for no other purpose than to occupy our military resources there.
What's that? I'm still expecting too much of a flighty redhead opinion journalist?
Joe Biden theorized that “The Awakening,” made up of Sunnis, might decide to get into a civil war with Sunnis, presumably meaning Shiites.
But Senator Biden asked a trenchant, if attenuated, question of Mr. Crocker about Al Qaeda: “If you could take it out, you had a choice, the Lord Almighty came down and sat in the middle of the table there and said, ‘Mr. Ambassador, you can eliminate every Al Qaeda source in Afghanistan and Pakistan, or every Al Qaeda personnel in Iraq,’ which would you pick?”
Given the progress beating back Al Qaeda in Iraq, the ambassador replied, he would pick the hiding place of bin Laden.
“That would be a smart choice,” Mr. Biden noted.
Mr. Biden was smart enough to drop out as a Democrat presidential candidate as soon as it had been pointed out to him that he was the only person in American who actually believed he was qualified. If he'd been really smart, he'd have known that before he entered.
Now he's smart enough to understand that it would take the Lord Almighty to allow us any chance of eliminating every al-Qaeda source in Afghanistan and Pakistan, although he offers no suggestion as to how that assistance might be possible to obtain, while ignoring the fact that it really is quite possible for us to continue to eliminate all al-Qaeda personnel in Iraq.
One very good reason is because we have Iraqi help in doing that. This should be considered a notable achievement...and would be, if a Democrat had produced it rather than George Bush.
And if we cannot get them out of Iraq, with official and unofficial Iraqi help, both the Iraqi army and the Sons of Iraq, then why even imagine the possibility where Osama actually hangs out...Pakistan?
Well, Joe Biden thinks he's smart enough to talk about it, at least, given the Almighty's help.
You know you’re in trouble when Barbara Boxer is the voice of reason.
“Why is it,” she asked, “after all we have given — 4,024 American lives, gone; more than half-a-billion dollars spent; all this for the Iraqi people, but it’s the Iranian president who is greeted with kisses and flowers?”
She warmed to: “He got a red-carpet treatment, and we are losing our sons and daughters every single day for the Iraqis to be free. It is irritating is my point.”
Yes, Barbara Boxer as the voice of reason would be trouble enough, but, as usual, she's misinformed or merely simply incorrect. If she thinks she is irritated, imagine how I feel about her ignorance as a sitting senator.
Ahmad was not, in fact, greeted with kisses and flowers despite the attempt he made to stage-manage his own visit. I gave you this Amir Taheri link earlier, but you can read it again:
Weeks of hard work by Iranian emissaries and pro-Iran elements in Iraq were supposed to ensure massive crowds thronging the streets of Baghdad and throwing flowers on the path of the visiting Iranian leader. Instead, no more than a handful of Iraqis turned up for the occasion. The numbers were so low that the state-owned TV channels in Iran decided not to use the footage at all.
Instead, much larger crowds gathered to protest Ahmadinejad's visit. In the Adhamiya district of Baghdad, several thousand poured into the streets with cries of "Iranian aggressor, go home!"
The visit's highlight was supposed to be a pilgrimage to Karbala and Najaf, the "holiest" of Shiite cities in Iraq. There, Ahmadinejad was supposed to become the first Iranian government leader since 1976 to pray at the mausoleums of Imam Hussein and Imam Ali.
In the end, however, the tour was canceled amid reports that Shiite pilgrims, including thousands from Iran, were planning to demonstrate against his presence at the "holy" cities.
A more important reason motivated Ahmadinejad to drop his planned visits to Najaf - his failure to arrange an encounter with the leading ayatollahs of the "holy" city, especially Grand Ayatollah Ali-Muhammad Sistani, the leading Shiite clergyman. For a president who claims that he's the standard-bearer of a global Shiite revolution, that was one photo-op to die for.
Even Maureen knows Barbara Boxer is a chucklehead, but either Maurine doesn't know the truth about Ahmad's visit and is herself a chucklehead, of she does know the truth and is deliberately misleading you for her own purposes. You can figure out your own name for people like that.
He had already been obliged to cancel a visit to Samarra, where the "Hidden Imam" disappeared in a well on 941 AD. Ahmadinejad had hoped to visit the ruins of the golden-domed Mausoleum of the Two Imams that was bombed by al Qaeda in 2005 and 2006 and announce a plan to rebuild the mausoleum.
The project is of special importance to Ahmadinejad, who claims to be in direct contact with the "Hidden Imam." (Last year he told his Cabinet that the "Hidden Imam" had accompanied him to the United Nations and filled the General Assembly's hall with a green light during his speech.)
But two days of demonstrations against Ahmadinejad's planned visit by the people of Samarra forced him to strike the city off his itinerary.
Nor did Ahmadinejad's presence in Baghdad go as smoothly as he'd hoped. A good part of the Iraqi political elite, including Cabinet ministers and members of the parliament, boycotted functions held in his honor. Tehran has branded the boycotters as "Saddamites and Sunnis in fact, a good number of Shiite politicians, including the leaders of the Fadila (Virtue) Party, also stayed away.
Protest marches against Ahmadinejad weren't limited to predominantly Sunni Arab cities such as Mosul, Kirkuk and Fallujah. Thousands of people also turned out in Shiite-majority Basra, Iraq's second-largest city, to oppose the visit and condemn the Islamic Republic's intervention in domestic Iraqi affairs.
The visit's political side was equally disappointing for Ahmadinejad. He failed to persuade the Iraqi leaders to stop negotiations with America on long-term arrangements ensuring US commitment to new Iraq for several more years. Nor did he succeed in obtaining cast-iron guarantees that new Iraq won't seek to renegotiate aspects of the 1975 Treaty with Iran. (Iraqi President Jalal Talabani told an interviewer last year that the treaty, signed by Saddam Hussein, doesn't reflect the interests of the Iraqi people.)
Ahmadinejad's visit also failed to produce results on such perennial Irano-Iraqi problems as the fate of thousands from both sides who remain missing in action since the 1980-88 war, and plans for reopening the Shatt al-Arab border estuary to allow a revival of maritime transport in that corner of southwestern Iran.
The Iranian visitor failed on another issue close to the heart of Iran's ruling mullahs: the handover of some 4,000 members of the Mujahedin Khalq (People's Combatants), an armed Marxist-Islamist group who live under US protection in a camp northeast of Baghdad. The Iraqi leaders paid lip service to the idea of getting rid of the "terrorists" but offered no timetable for expelling them, let alone handing them over to Tehran and certain death.
Ahmadinejad had come to Iraq to show it was an Iranian playground. He ended up by showing that Iran's influence in Iraq is widely exaggerated.
Dowd and Boxer; chuckleheads together. And both clueless enough to put their ignorance on public display.
Michael Gerson, considerably more adult than those two, says:
...it seems increasingly unfair to denigrate the efforts of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's government, which has moved forward on 12 of 18 benchmarks set by Congress and has recently engaged Shiite militias in a fight the United States has been demanding.
Boxer and Mo chorused: hey, who knew?
Congress sets benchmarks that Boxer knows nothing about, Iraq makes progress on a majority of them, doing significantly better than the US Congress does, and Maureen thinks it is evidence of ancient tribal aggressions.
Chuck Hagel thinks the surge took place in Basra, when it did not, Barbara Boxer thinks Ahmadinejad had a successful visit, when he did not, and Maureen Dowd thinks Boxer is the voice of reason.
By comparison, Biden invoking the Lord Almighty for assistance sounds like the rational one.
...Obama promises to personally negotiate with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Iran's destabilizing support and training of Shiite militias. ...
Obama -- the most reflective of candidates -- displays little self-knowledge when it comes to these political challenges. When questioned recently about his choice for vice president, he responded, "I would like somebody who knows about a bunch of stuff that I am not as expert on. I think a lot of people assume that might be some sort of military thing to make me look more commander in chief-like. . . . Ironically, this is an area -- foreign policy is the area where I am probably most confident that I know more and understand the world better than Senator Clinton or Senator McCain."
Unfortunately, Obama continued mentally, I just cannot find anybody who knows about a bunch of stuff that I am not as expert on.
What's that? No, the word he used was EXPERT. How did he become an expert at negotiating with foreign leaders, or even acting as a commander in chief when he has no previous experience at all?
You'd have to ask him, I guess.
Meanwhile, I'm going to become an expert golfer over this weekend watching Tiger Woods play.
Gerson makes an important point even as he misses it:
Maliki's uncoordinated attack on the Shiite militias in Basra seems to indicate that while the Iraqi spirit is willing, the flesh remains weak. But the failure of the Shiite uprising to spread more broadly shows that the extremists may be weaker than in the past. And, as Fred Kagan of the American Enterprise Institute points out, Moqtada al-Sadr was forced to cave in at the end. "By going after al-Sadr," he says, "Maliki forced the Iraqi political parties to take sides, and every single one sided with him [Maliki]."
The point, almost the entire point, of the Basra attack was the necessity Maliki had for proving that the SPIRIT was willing.
This was, after all, the big question mark posted against the Maliki government by the Sunni members.
What's that? Oh, yes...and by the American Congress, as well.
The question was not about capability nearly as much as it was Maliki's willingness. People weren't complaining about 'could Maliki act against the Shia militias' but 'WOULD Maliki act against Shia militias'? He answered that.
And al-Sadr and Iran asking for a cease-fire, because they had lost such a large number of their own personnel in the battle, is something the US media seems to want to deny for some reason. You have to did, but you can find the numbers if you do. Al-Sadr took a big hurt and the end result is going to be that the Maliki government ends up in control of Basra in the end.
From Media Notes:
I've never seen so many campaign surrogates get into trouble in just a few months. The Nation's John Nichols pounces on the latest example:
"The John McCain campaign is all excited about a statement that West Virginia Senator Jay Rockefeller, the chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, made about McCain's service in Vietnam.
"Unlike other war heroes who have been shot down in battle and risked their lives behind enemy lines, such as former South Dakota Senator George McGovern, McCain has chosen to make his military service a central feature of his political campaigning. Unfortunately, McCain and his supporters are hyper-sensitive about discussion's of the Arizona senator's service as a fighter pilot and a prisoner of war.
"So they go crazy whenever anyone deviates from the campaign's official story-line.
"Rockefeller did that when he told the Charleston Gazette in an interview that, 'McCain was a fighter pilot, who dropped laser-guided missiles from 35,000 feet. He was long gone when they hit. What happened when they [the missiles] get to the ground? He doesn't know. You have to care about the lives of people. McCain never gets into those issues.' "
Of course, the fact that that wasn't anything even remotely close to what McCain did (laser-guided missiles did not even exist then) has nothing to do with their complaints, you understand.
Accuse McCain of any invention that suits you, like Jay Rockefeller does (didn't he vote for the war in Iraq?) and if he complains then he's going crazy defending his actual record. Uh huh.
Rockefeller knows that McCain was a fighter pilot, not a bomber pilot, for one thing.
Iraq's ambassador to the US explains Basra:
Today, the world is facing a new and dangerous threat of international extremism and terrorism. The epicenter of this confrontation is Iraq. The new enemy is harder to defeat because it is not confined to a state, though some states are involved in its creation and promotion. It is diffused throughout many societies. But this enemy can and must be defeated. As the struggles of the last century shaped our world, this struggle will shape the world for generations to come.
This is not to say that this struggle is simple: the good versus the bad. It is complex. In Iraq, there are many layers of competing visions, interests and political objectives existing simultaneously. The people of Iraq were traumatized for decades. They are as vulnerable to the worst elements among them as they are to external forces. But there are enough of them with the will to fight for their future and their country.
This was demonstrated by the recent events in Basra, where the Iraqi government decided to pursue outlaws and armed militias engaged in criminal activities and the terrorizing of communities. It was a brave attempt given the circumstances, and was supported by all the political groups in Iraq except for the Sadrists. This was Round One. The fight will continue.
The salvation of Iraqis and the interests of the U.S. coincide. They lie in the defeat of the terrorists and extremists, and the frustration of the ambitions of all those who want this joint American-Iraqi endeavor to fail. This endeavor is costly, in every sense. But failure would be immeasurably costlier. That is why we need to build a long-term strategic alliance, and to make it work. It is in this context that we must look at the current negotiations between the U.S. and Iraq to reach a Status of Forces Agreement and a Strategic Framework Agreement.
After a bumpy learning curve, the U.S. has started to do things better in Iraq. The surge, applying the counterinsurgency principles of Gen. David Petraeus, has produced tangible results. It is not time to give up.
Maureen tells us that a democratic government fighting organized crime is ancient tribal warfare. She is an Obama-type expert.
Contrast this with William Kristol's interview with President Bush:
And he had a certain amount of steel in his voice when he then reiterated his determination not to allow the sacrifices of our fighting men and women to have been made in vain. The one thing parents and wives of slain soldiers and Marines most often asked of him, the president said, was to complete the mission for which their son or husband had died. And the president quietly said he was determined to do everything in his power to see to it that this country kept their loved ones' faith and honored their sacrifice.
This is the thing that Liberals and the non-military people do not understand. People who fight for our country believe in what they are doing. What they want to do is win, even if they're not alive for the victory parade. And their parents and families do not want their ultimate sacrifice to have been in vain.
Here's Amir Taheri on what happened in Basra:
April 10, 2008 -- A GAMBLE that proved too costly.
That's how analysts in Tehran describe events last month in Basra. Iran's state-run media have de facto confirmed that this was no spontaneous "uprising." Rather, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) tried to seize control of Iraq's second-largest city using local Shiite militias as a Trojan horse.
Tehran's decision to make the gamble was based on three assumptions:
* Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki wouldn't have the courage to defend Basra at the risk of burning his bridges with the Islamic Republic in Iran.
* The international force would be in no position to intervene in the Basra battle. The British, who controlled Basra until last December, had no desire to return, especially if this meant getting involved in fighting. The Americans, meanwhile, never had enough troops to finish off al-Qaeda-in-Iraq, let alone fight Iran and its local militias on a new front.
* The Shiite clerical leadership in Najaf would oppose intervention by the new Iraqi security forces in a battle that could lead to heavy Shiite casualties.
The Iranian plan - developed by Revolutionary Guard's Quds (Jerusalem) unit, which is in charge of "exporting the Islamic Revolution" - aimed at a quick victory. To achieve that, Tehran spent vast sums persuading local Iraqi security personnel to switch sides or to remain neutral.
The hoped-for victory was to be achieved as part of a massive Shiite uprising spreading from Baghdad to the south via heartland cities such as Karbala, Kut and al-Amarah. A barrage of rockets and missiles against the "Green Zone" in Baghdad and armed attacks on a dozen police stations and Iraqi army barracks in the Shiite heartland were designed to keep the Maliki government under pressure.
To seize control of Basra, Quds commanders used units known as Special Groups. These consist of individuals recruited from among the estimated 1.8 million Iraqi refugees who spent more than two decades in Iran during Saddam Hussein's reign. They returned to Iraq shortly after Saddam's fall and started to act as liaisons between Quds and local Shiite militias.
In last month's operation, Quds commanders used the name and insignia of the Mahdi Army, a militia originally created by the maverick cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, as a cover for the Special Groups.
Initially, Quds commanders appeared to have won their bet. Their Special Groups and Mahdi Army allies easily seized control of key areas of Basra when more than 500 Iraqi security personnel abandoned their positions and disappeared into the woodwork.
Soon, however, the tide turned. Maliki proved that he had the courage to lead the new Iraqi Security Force (ISF) into battle, even if that meant confronting Iran. The ISF showed that it had the capacity and the will to fight.
Only a year ago, the ISF had been unable to provide three brigades (some 9,000 men) to help the US-led "surge" restore security in Baghdad. This time, the ISF had no difficulty deploying 15 brigades (30,000 men) for the battle of Basra.
Led by Gen. Mohan al-Freiji, the Iraqi force sent to Basra was the largest that the ISF had put together since its creation five years ago. This was the first time that the ISF was in charge of a major operation from start to finish and was fighting a large, well-armed adversary without US advisers.
During the Basra battles, the ISF did call on British and US forces to provide some firepower, especially via air strikes against enemy positions. But, in another first, the ISF used its own aircraft to transport troops and materiel and relied on its own communication system.
The expected call from the Najaf ayatollahs to stop "Shiite fratricide" failed to materialize. Grand Ayatollah Ali-Muhammad Sistani, the top cleric in Iraq, gave his blessings to the Maliki-launched operation. More broadly, the Shiite uprisings in Baghdad, Karbala, Najaf and other cities that Quds commanders had counted upon didn't happen. The "Green Zone" wasn't evacuated in panic under a barrage of rockets and missiles.
After more than a week of fighting, the Iraqis forced the Quds commanders to call for a cease-fire through Sadr. The Iraqi commander agreed - provided that the Quds force directly guaranteed it. To highlight Iran's role in the episode, he insisted that the Quds force dispatch a senior commander to finalize the accord.
The Iran-backed side lost more than 600 men, with more than 1,000 injured. The ISF lost 88 dead and 122 wounded.
Some analysts suggest this was the first war between new Iraq and the Islamic Republic. If so, the Iraqis won.
To be sure, the Iranian-backed side lost partly because Iran couldn't use its full might, especially its air force. (That almost certainly would've led to war between Iran and the US-led coalition in Iraq.)
The battle for Basra showed that Iraq has a new army that's willing and able to fight. If the 15 brigades that fought are a sample, the new Iraq may have an effective army of more than 300,000 before year's end.
But the battle also showed that the ISF still lacks the weapons systems, including attack aircraft and longer-range missiles, needed to transform tactical victories into strategic ones. The Iranian-sponsored Special Groups and their Mahdi Army allies simply disappeared from the scene, taking their weapons with them, waiting for another fight.
Tehran tried to test the waters in Basra and, as an opportunist power, would've annexed southern Iraq under a quisling administration had that been attainable at a low cost. Once it became clear that the cost might be higher than the Quds force expected, Tehran opted to back down.
Yet this was just the first round. The struggle for Iraq isn't over.
My attitude, of course, is that they should never have accepted the cease-fire but continued until all of the Mahdi Army and Iranian-sponsored Special Groups were killed, never to return.
If there was one lesson we should have learned in Vietnam, it is not to accept the terms of any peace agreement from that kind of enemy. We signed a peace agreement with North Vietnam and brought all of our American troops home. Peace had been achieved and the South Vietnamese government entered into full diplomatic relations with the North Vietnamese government, as a result of the Paris peace accords. The United Nations beamed approvingly. We let the North Vietnamese army return home, taking their weapons with them, failing to protest even when some failed to depart.
More than two years of peace ensued in Vietnam.
Then, however, North Vietnam returned with the weapons they had kept. By this time, the last of the American Vietnam vets were entering their junior year in college under their GI Bill of Rights, and unmarked triple purple heart veteran Kerry was completing his doctorate at Boston College, unwilling to return to Swift Boat duty.
American troops were not there to fight the invaders. We would not even provide air support, John McCain being still recovering from captivity and unable to walk unassisted, let alone fly. In fact, an American Congress wouldn’t even send them money to pay for their own defense.
Therefore, we lost the war in Vietnam more than two years after we left the country.
Now we have let the Mahdi Army and the Iranian Quds force leave with their weapons, under the terms of a cease-fire.
The lessons of Vietnam could not be clearer. Never give away diplomatically what you have won militarily, allowing the enemy survivors to leave with their arms intact.
Like Johnny, they will be back.
After we’ve gone home.
In the Middle East, devout Muslims still dream of reclaiming the Caliphate, now dating back more than a millenium. The Persian Empire goes back much, much further than that, but Iran dreams of reestablishing it, too.
American liberals squeeze their bosoms and faint at McCain’s suggestion that we may well have troops in Iraq longer than they have now been in Europe and Korea, perhaps even as long as...brace yourself...a hundred years. As in “100—count ‘em, folks—100”. Whoa, that’s a long time, podnuh.
No wonder bin Laden is rolling on a cave floor somewhere, laughing his ass off. He doesn’t expect to be alive 100 years from now, but he does expect to win by then.
And Americans, having learned nothing from their orderly 5-year-long retreat from Vietnam, followed by a signed peace agreement brokered internationally in Paris by respected world diplomats, as well as smiling U.N. approval, seemingly haven’t learned a thing from history.
You know what that means.
Here's a Bill Roggio post on the subject:
Four days after the Iraqi government, with the backing of the full spectrum of the political parties, moved to bar the Sadrist movement from running in provincial elections if it failed to disband the Mahdi Army, Muqtada al Sadr received yet another blow, this time from the clerical establishment. Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, the senior most Shia cleric in Iraq, has said Sadr should disarm his Mahdi Army as “the law is the only authority in the country.”
Sistani, who has been loath to weigh in on political issues over the past, has clearly backed Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki and his government’s offensive in Basra. With the political parties in line and Sistani backing him, Maliki is now moving to enforce the edict that Basra be free of heavy and medium weapons in the hands of militias.
The media was quick to call the Basra offensive a major failure for Maliki and his government and continues to do so. Yet Sadr was the one who declared a ceasefire and withdrew his forces from the streets, Sadr will be barred from elections if he doesn’t disband the Mahdi Army, and the Iraqi military is now moving to disarm his militia. All the while, his forces are being targeted in Baghdad. And Sadr was also forced to cancel a planned demonstration in Baghdad after moving the location from Najaf to Baghdad earlier in the week. Sadr claimed the Iraqi security forces blocked the movement of his people, but Sadr’s past demonstrations have had poor showings.
Sadr faces a real dilemma over the next few weeks. If he chooses to keep the Mahdi Army, he has become an official enemy of the state and his political party will be neutered. The U.S. will back the Maliki government in a move against the Mahdi Army. If he chooses to disband Mahdi, he will also be significantly weakened. Many Sadrists and Mahdi Army commanders already resent the ceasefire. Sadr can only hope for some sort of negotiated settlement. But the Maliki government is operating from a position of strength, not weakness.
So again, how did Sadr benefit from the confrontation in Basra?
Maureen Dowd knows nothing of these posts, of course...she's a big-time columnist who writes, not reads.
On a lighter note, there's a rumor now that Katie Couric is stepping down:
CBS, however ineptly, gamely tried to reinvent the nightly news formula to remain relevant in a new media era. How was the network to know that Couric's trademark perkiness and strange fireside interviews would repel viewers rather than attract them?
I can't talk, not watching a whole lot of tv news, but the few times I've seen Katie she seems diminished, to me. I always liked the perky Katie of the morning shows, myself, but the few times I've watched her on her news gig she has seemed, well, matronly. They've toned her down into something that she never was before, and it didn't work.
When the Peter Principle promotes you above your level of competence, that isn't really your fault, after all. Doing one thing well does not automatically mean you can do anything else equally well.
Remember when the fantastic basketball athlete, Michael Jordan, decided to try baseball?
Actually, he did quite well. Much better than average. But he was a superior basketball player, perhaps the best ever, and the two skills simply did not translate equally.
Often times they do not.