Blogito, Ergo Sum
by Gregg Calkins
13 April
2008, a Sunday
On which we see the front-runner being questioned about his words:
Senator Barack Obama fought back Saturday against accusations from his rivals that he had displayed a profound misunderstanding of small-town values, in a flare-up that left him on the defensive before a series of primaries that could test his ability to win over white voters in economically distressed communities.
For a second day, Mr. Obama sought to explain his remarks at a recent San Francisco fund-raiser that small-town Pennsylvania voters, bitter over their economic circumstances, “cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them” as a way to explain their frustrations.
Acknowledging Saturday that “I didn’t say it as well as I should have,” he explained his remarks by focusing on his characterization of those voters’ economic woes. He meant, he said, that voters in places that had been losing jobs for years expressed their anxiety at the polls by focusing on cultural and social issues like gun laws and immigration.
Hey, he explained, that's the way that we do it in our church.
Hillary is overstepping again, in reaction:
Later in the day, in Valparaiso, Ind., she reminisced about her father teaching her how to shoot when she was a young girl.
This enabled her to grab her AK-47 and run behind the hut, killing the ever-so-slightly wounded (enough for a purple heart, though) Viet Cong in mano-a-mano combat...oh, wait, wrong conflict, wrong candidate. It's too bad McCain wasn't running against Kerry. When Kerry boasted about beaching his Swift Boat so he could go ashore and engage an enemy fighter personally in mortal combat, McCain could top it by saying that he abandoned his airplane and bailed out behind enemy lines in order to take on all of them.
And, no, I've never been able to understand why Kerry abandoning his command, his Swift Boat, and running ashore alone, was not a court-martial offense. As their captain, he was directly responsible for the lives of the men on that boat, which had been left motionless and leaderless during a time of combat, according to Kerry's own version. What's that? I'm digressing? Oh.
Although she has been a strong supporter of gun control in the past, urging Congress to “buck the gun lobby” as first lady, Mrs. Clinton said, “Americans who believe in the Second Amendment believe it’s a constitutional right; Americans who believe in God believe it’s a matter of personal faith.”
She'll take away your second amendment rights, you see, but leave you the first.
“And they fell through the Clinton administration, and the Bush administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not,” Mr. Obama went on. “And it’s not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or antitrade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.”
The problem, in all seriousness and not as a political gotcha, is that this is precisely what he learned in his church. And he is against NAFTA, remember.
So, now, how to spin it...
“So I said, well, you know when you’re bitter, you turn to what you can count on,” he added. “So people, they vote about guns, or they take comfort from their faith and their family and their community.”
I don't know...that sounds a lot like landing in Bosnia under sniper fire, to me.
Will wife Michelle explain better? Husband Bill explained that it was late and Hillary was tired, thereby trashing "I'll be ready at 3 a.m." meme in the process. Other surrogates are trying hard...
“People in rural Pennsylvania don’t turn to guns and religion as an escape,” Mr. Rendell said. “Hunting and sportsmanship are long-established traditions here, and people of faith founded the commonwealth and continue to live here. What the senator has done is essentially misread what is actually happening in Pennsylvania.”
But J. Richard Gray, the mayor of Lancaster and an Obama supporter, said this was not what Mr. Obama meant. Mr. Obama was trying to say, Mr. Gray argued, that Republicans take emotional issues like guns and religion and try to use them to divide people.
“I don’t think he’s demeaning religion or guns,” Mr. Gray said. “He’s saying the use of those issues as wedge issues plays on the bitterness that people have and diverts attention from the real economic issues, like the disparity between the wage earner and the rich.”
Of course, it's the liberal Democrats who want to take away their guns...oh, them. And it's the liberals who scream about religious symbols being used inappropriately, like the word "Christ" in Christmas and a manger scene as a result. Using guns and religion as a divisive technique is liberal in origin, not conservative. Oh. Well, um, er...
David Saunders, a Democratic strategist and rural advocate, advised John Edwards’s presidential campaign but is now neutral. He said he believed that Mr. Obama’s comments would offend rural voters.
“It could mean he’s rendered himself unelectable,” Mr. Saunders said. “This is a perfect example of why Democrats lose elections.”
Since he's somewhat of an expert on that subject, the Democrats should listen.
What happened here was that Obama was speaking at a closed-door function, which made him careless. According to The Fix:
There couldn't have been a worse place for Obama to make these remarks. San Francisco is widely seen by those who live in so-called "fly over" country as an example of liberalism run rampant. Even Obama, who touts his willingness to speak truth to power, appears to have gotten caught playing to his audience.
Pandering, even.
Close Guantanamo and send the prisoners back home, that's the right thing to do...and now that we all agree on that...
Since October 2006, the United States has transferred approximately 50 detainees out of Guantanamo to the custody of the Afghan government, part of a policy aimed at reducing the prison population and ultimately closing the facility.
Once home, many of the Afghans have been left in a legal limbo not unlike the one they confronted while in U.S. custody.
"These people have been thrown into a deeply flawed process that convicts people on inadequate evidence and breaks numerous procedural rules of Afghan law and human rights standards," said Jonathan Horowitz, an investigator at One World Research, a public interest investigation firm that works with attorneys and advocacy groups on human rights cases and has monitored some of the detainees' trials. ...
Sandra L. Hodgkinson, deputy assistant secretary of defense for detainee affairs, said it was the Afghan government's decision to try detainees in its courts for crimes allegedly committed on its soil, rather than holding them indefinitely as "enemy combatants," as the United States initially had suggested. Since then, the United States has been closely tracking the criminal cases, but American officials said they do not have any control over the trials or the Afghan justice system.
I'll bet that they now have fond memories of life at Guantanamo.
Jim Hoagland on the argument about Iraq stressing our armed forces too much:
...as Petraeus is fond of saying, the enemy gets a vote in U.S. strategy. Will al-Qaeda, the Taliban or Iraqi insurgents see it in their interest to go on the attack against Americans to try to influence the campaign and November's elections? If so, in what direction?
Would Iran welcome a newly elected President Obama with a nuclear enrichment freeze or -- more likely -- by testing him by moving identifiable Iranian militia units into Basra province on a large scale, as some Persian Gulf Arab states may fear? Or if it is President McCain, will the ayatollahs show something like the Reagan reflex? After all, they greeted the election of a conservative hard-liner in 1980 by releasing U.S. hostages.
These are immediate questions that the nation needs to consider as we move toward an epoch-shaping election. They are among the questions that convince me that Petraeus has reshaped the Iraqi battlefield sufficiently to be given a chance to continue his strategy. The "now" war has to trump the "maybe" wars, at least for the year ahead.
If there is a lesson to be gleaned from the Vietnam experience, it is clearly this: anything less than an unconditional surrender by the enemy, even a negotiated peace agreement, will be considered to be a "loss" even years after American troops are all back on American soil.
There's no sense worrying about future wars if you aren't willing to convincingly win the one you are engaged in now.
But look at what happened to our military in the years following our perception of defeat in Vietnam.
George Will writes about the economy:
In 1935, when Congress enacted Social Security, protracted retirement was a luxury enjoyed by a tiny sliver of the population. Back then, Congress did its arithmetic ruthlessly: When it set the retirement age at 65, the life expectancy of an adult American male was 65. If in 1935 Congress had indexed the retirement age to life expectancy, today's retirement age would be 75.
I had previously read the life expectancy to be 63, but no matter: the point is very clear, Congress did not expect the worker to live long enough to collect much of his own forced savings!
The standard definition of a recession -- two consecutive quarters of contraction -- means we still are probably several months short of being in one. The 9.9 percent first-quarter decline of the Standard & Poor 500 barely ranks among the 40 worst quarterly losses in the index's history. Leave aside the 39.4 percent decline in the second quarter of 1932. The economy experienced no long-term trauma because of the declines of 10.3 percent, 14.5 percent and 23.2 percent in the third quarter of 1998, the third quarter of 1990 and the fourth quarter of 1987, respectively.
Puts things into better perspective, perhaps. It sometimes seems like our journalists have all been trained in the "the sky is falling" school of journalism.
So far during this "crisis," the homeownership rate has declined just three-tenths of 1 percent since it peaked in 2004. At 67.8 percent, it remains higher than it was when President Bill Clinton left office.
Subprime mortgages are a small minority of mortgages, and only a minority of subprime borrowers are not making their payments.
I've thought about this often as I read about the size of some of the write-offs and losses being claimed. What's really going on here? There simply cannot be that many homeowners in the subprime category who aren't making their payments. And even if there were, either they are all combined into one big indigestible lump big enough to bring down somebody like Bear Stearns, or else they are spread throughout the entire mortgage industry to the point where they should produce discomfort, not disaster.
What else is going on here, really?
The Democrats don't like this point made about bin Laden and al-Qaeda:
Rep. Ike Skelton, Missouri Democrat and House Armed Services Committee chairman, opened his hearings Wednesday by saying that "troops in Iraq ... cannot be sent to Afghanistan to hunt down [Osama] bin Laden," thus the Iraq war "is putting at risk our ability to decisively defeat those most likely to attack us."
But several defense and intelligence sources bluntly reject that hypothesis, telling The Washington Times on the condition of anonymity that real political and military constraints on U.S. actions along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border would not be solved by throwing into the fray masses of soldiers hypothetically freed up by an Iraq pullout.
Among other things, they note, the militant Islamic resurgence is largely taking place in Pakistan.
Clifford D. May makes the point most Americans, it seems to me, are still unwilling to face, in discussing the oft-misquoted line by McCain about 100 years in Iraq:
Al Qaeda, Iran's ruling mullahs, Hezbollah and others militant jihadis have told us what they are fighting for. The well-known Islamist, Hassan al-Banna, described the movement's goals succinctly: "to dominate ... to impose its laws on all nations and to extend its power to the entire planet." He said that in 1928.
Who would have believed then that his heirs would acquire the wealth, power and lethality they enjoy today? Who can say where they may be a hundred years from now? Who can say where the West will be? Survival is not an entitlement. It must be earned by every generation.
So the most important question not asked of Gen. David Petreaus when he testified before Congress this week is how to maximize our chances of winning the long, global war in which we are engaged.
In 1928, 80 years ago, it didn't matter to even the tiny number of Americans who heard al-Banna, what he said. We neither heard him, nor cared. Now those people are rich beyond imagination, and gaining power by the minute. In a few more minutes, comparatively speaking, they will possess atomic weapons.
And atomic weapons weren't even imagined in 1928, only 80 years ago.
America was seen as a toothless tiger — "a society that cannot accept 10,000 dead in one battle," in the words of Saddam Hussein. He instructed "all militant believers" to "target [American] interests wherever they may be." Bin Laden declared the United States "a weak horse."
In 2006, al-Zawahri predicted the U.S. would go down to defeat in Iraq. It is, he said, "only a matter of time." Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah's leader, added: "I advise all those who place their trust in the Americans to learn the lesson of Vietnam... and to know that when the Americans lose this war — and lose it they will, Allah willing — they will abandon them to their fate, just like they did to all those who placed their trust in them throughout history."
Let's suppose it will require a hundred years to defeat such people, the ideas they espouse and the movements they represent. Do we really have anything more important to do?
Americans are supremely arrogant when they think that this is a war of our choice; also that it all began with Iraq and will end when we leave Iraq.
Even leaving the way we did in Vietnam...withdrawing our troops a hundred thousand at a time for five years, ending with a signed peace agreement in hand and diplomatic relations existing between the two previously-warring nations.
Does anyone believe that North Vietnam would have reinvaded two years later if we had left peace-keeping troops in place...you know, the way we did in South Korea?
Or in Europe, when the Russian bear threatened?
The Politico lists a dozen reasons why Obama's 'misspeak' was bad:
1. It lets Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) off the mat at a time when even some of her top supporters had begun to despair about her prospects. Clinton hit back hard on the campaign trail Saturday. And her campaign held a conference call where former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, a Pittsburgh native, described Obama’s remarks as “condescending and disappointing” and “undercutting his message of hope.”
Purely political, but one of the reasons she has been hanging around is to hope that he puts a foot badly wrong somewhere. And if this wasn't "the one", there will still be many more opportunities for him to reveal who he really is. This is Obama's weakness: the disguise is difficult to maintain indefinitely. He is a VERY liberal politician running on smoke and mirrors.
2. If you are going to say something that makes you sound like a clueless liberal, don’t say it in San Francisco. Obama’s views might have been received very differently if he had expressed them in public to Pennsylvania voters, saying he understood and could alleviate their frustrations.
What was he doing in San Francisco in the first place? Let the land of fruits and nuts alone. Because a liberal there finds the disguise even harder to maintain. Hiding behind closed doors won't work any more.
3. Some people actually use guns to hunt — not to compensate for a salary that’s less than a U.S. senator’s.
Hard to imagine, for non-hunters. Who have never hunted, I'll have to add. I'm a non-hunter now, but I used to hunt quite a lot. I hunted rabbits and sage hen and ducks and even deer. But the food wasn't a necessity, and the sport lost its flavor for me when I watched my last deer die, looking at me. I could do it to feed my family, but killing is not a sport. Still, others feel differently and I grew up among hunters and I have some understanding of how they think.
4. Some people cling to religion not because they are bitter but because they believe it, and because faith in God gives them purpose and comfort.
I think that here Barack Obama revealed a bit more than he intended to reveal.
5. Some hard-working Americans find it insulting when rich elites explain away things dear to their hearts as desperation. It would be like a white politician telling blacks they cling to charismatic churches to compensate for their plight. And it vindicates centrist Democrats who have been arguing for a decade that their party has allowed itself to look culturally out of touch with the American mainstream.
Obama still has his major problem, encountered first, oddly enough, among the black community. Was he, son of a native Kenyan father, really "black enough" in the sense of having lived the black American experience? Going to school in Indonesia and Hawaii isn't the same as the inner cities of Detroit, Chicago and New York City, after all. But even white kids in "the mainstream" don't go to school in Indonesia and Hawaii, for the vast majority, either.
And rich young black men certainly are not the cultural norm, unless they are professional athletes, people who none of us would consider to be of the mainstream, nor is America's mainstream educated at Harvard.
The question is not so much whether or not he is out of touch as much as it is whether he ever was actually in touch. If so, how did he get there? Certainly not by experience. And Michelle certainly has played her own Bill Clinton spousal gaffe role...complaining to a room full of black women about how much it cost her to send her children to summer camps and private schools? The fantastic thing about this was the "bye" the press gave her about it.
Can you imagine the furor that would have ensued if McCain's wife had gotten up and said something like that? Even worse for the press, they cannot even bring themselves to mention McCain's children and their summer camp experiences.
6. It provides a handy excuse for people who were looking for a reason not to vote for Obama but don’t want to think of themselves as bigoted. It hurts Obama especially with the former Reagan Democrats, the culturally conservative, blue-collar workers who could be a promising voter group for him. It also antagonizes people who were concerned about his minister but might have given him the benefit of the doubt after his eloquent speech on race.
This is unfortunate, but all too true in the case of the 'excuse' people. I've been exposed to some prejudiced people during my life, and they're prejudiced because of a wide variety of experiences. In the Marine Corps, in 1953, I encountered kids from small southern towns who simply could not swallow being given orders they had to follow, life or death commands, from a black man. Simply could not, it was not really a conscious decision because it had been ingrained in them from birth. Hate or dislike didn't even enter into the equation.
I had another good friend, afterwards, who lived in Los Angeles on the edge of a neighborhood which was being encroached by the black community. He grew up in school fighting, physically, black against white. He hated black people, he said. And yet when our office transferred to San Francisco and he got divorced and was having trouble making economic ends meet, he wound up sharing an apartment with my technical assistant, who was coal black and read Eldridge Cleaver, simply because Mike was, in the end, a really nice human being. Both of them were.
Is bigotry voluntary, or involuntary in many cases? For instance, I'd be very happy if McCain was black and Obama was white, because I'd still vote for McCain and yet not have to defend my vote on the basis of race.
7. It gives the Clinton campaign new arguments for trying to recruit superdelegates, the Democratic elected officials and other insiders who get a vote on the nomination. A moderate politician from a swing district, for example, might not want to have to explain support for a candidate who is being hammered as a liberal. And Clinton’s agents can claim that for all the talk of her being divisive, Obama has provided plenty of fodder to energize Republicans.
Looked at honestly and directly, the superdelegates were created for a specific purpose. Voting along with the majority was not it. They're supposed to nominate the candidate who has the best chance of winning the general election; nothing more, and nothing less. Whether the love Obama, personally, or think electing a black man would be healing for the nation, is secondary.
It's hard to do a job like that. One of the most difficult lessons I had to learn early in life was that "a Marine on duty has no friends". When you walk your post, on duty, your personal feelings do not matter when it comes to doing your duty. This was a very difficult lesson for me, in particular.
8. It helps Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) frame a potential race against Obama, even though both of them have found support among independents. Now Republicans have a simple, easily repeated line of attack to use against Obama as an out-of-touch snob, as they had with Sen. John F. Kerry after he blundered by commenting about military funding, “I actually did vote for the $87 billion before I voted against it.”
Enough of the apologies for Kerry: he was a jerk, pure and simple. Obama is probably, actually, a reasonably nice guy. I can imagine bowling with Obama (no hoops, that's not my sport), but I cannot imagine skiing with Kerry, for instance, even though Kerry wore the uniform and put in at least some time. My problem with Kerry is that I wore the uniform and put in the time and I know all too well that we have people there who don't belong, just the same. I was a kid at the time, 18-21, and I supervised kids, but we all still knew that some of them were good, some were marginal, and some were not worth it.
No matter their rank, either. Murtha was a Lt Colonel, but my job put me into regular contact with Marine Corps Lt Colonels, and let me flatly guarantee you that some of them weren't worth a vice-presidential warm bucket.
9. The comments play directly into an already-established narrative about his candidacy. Clinton supporters have been arguing that Obama has limited appeal beyond upscale Democrats — the so-called latte liberals. You can’t win red states if people there don’t like you. “Elites need to understand that middle-class Americans view values and culture as more important than mere trickery,” said Paul Begala, a Clinton backer. “Democrats have to respect their values and reflect their values, not condescend to them as if they were children who’ve been bamboozled.”
A good point. Unfortunately for Hillary, she clearly doesn't live at any level above mere trickery. And if Hillary has broad appeal beyond her own Democrat constituency, I think it has yet to be demonstrated.
10. The timing is terrible. With the Pennsylvania primary nine days off, late-deciding voters are starting to tune in. Obama and Clinton are scheduled to appear separately on CNN on Sunday for a forum on, of all topics, faith and values. And ABC News is staging a Clinton-Obama debate in Philadelphia on Wednesday. So Clinton has the maximum opportunity to keep a spotlight on the issue. Besides sex, little drives the news and opinion industry more than race, religion, culture and class. So as far as chances the chattering-class will perpetuate the issue, Obama has hit the jackpot.
Well, that was the biggie...and the reason why Hillary did not drop out. Clearly they have been looking for an Obama f-up, with only time on their side. Now her problem is that she will be aggressively attacking his weak spot while perhaps also exposing her own vulnerable flanks in the process. That's Obama's hope now.
11. The story did not have its roots in right-wing or conservative circles. It was published — and aggressively promoted — by The Huffington Post, a liberally oriented organization that was Obama’s outlet of choice when he wanted to release a personal statement distancing himself from some comments by the Rev. Wright.
Yeah, I thought that was odd, myself. Couldn't possibly be better, I thought to myself.
But you have to take into consideration where I'm coming from, too. I'm not sure what I want at this point, frankly. Obama to win, and then be discredited by his associations and actual opinions, bringing Hillary back as a second choice; or Hillary to win thanks to the superdelegates and royally piss off Obama's black supporters, who will think they were jobbed worse than Algoreans thought they were in Florida. Both work for me, I'm a McCain man, but I'm having difficulty choosing between them.
12. It undermines Democratic congressional candidates who had thought that Obama would make a stronger top for the ticket than Clinton. Already, Republican House candidates are challenging their Democratic opponents to renounce or embrace Obama’s remarks. Ken Spain, press secretary for the National Republican Congressional Committee, said: “There is a myth being perpetuated by Democrats and even some in the media that an Obama candidacy would somehow be better for their chances down ballot. But we don’t believe that is the case.”
I'm not at all sure, either way. I personally "like" Obama much better than I do Hillary. If one of the two of them had to win, and that was the only choice I had, I can see a lot of good in Obama. After all, there's no value in pointing out the flaws in your president AFTER he has been elected, leave that to America's enemies.
On the other hand, I also think that Hillary, down deep in the place nobody sees, has a better standing of the real world, the cruel world, out there, when it comes to militant Islam.
In the end, that's why I'm for McCain in spite of his own flaws (according to my personal scoreboard, of course), because I think he is the only one who understands the generational nature of the fight ahead.
A hundred years? Kid me not, kids, it's already been going on 1400 years, even if you didn't notice until recently.
Nina May at Townhall, on why it's the economy, stupid, until November 5th:
It is interesting to note though, that as the Democrats insist the economy is tanking. . . they have magically been able to come up with millions and millions and millions of dollars to see either Hillary or Barack win the election. And if you look at the leaders of the Democrats, especially, Bill and Hillary Clinton, you will discover that they have made over $100 million dollars in the eight years since Bush has been in office. Wow, that’s pretty cool. Even Bush and Cheney didn’t come close to making the same amount while the Clintons were in office. It is still a little confusing as to how with just one salary of about $200,000 while he was President, that they were able to buy the multi-million dollar house in New York without ever even owning a home before. I wonder if it was one of those risky sub-prime loans. And going from being a Whitehousewife for 8 years, to being a US Senator, now worth millions and millions of dollars, it is no surprise that Hillary wants to parlay those earnings into greater earnings by being president . . . again.
So, Bill and Hillary, Obama, John Edwards, Al Gore and all the other wealthy Democrats have gotten very rich under Republicans, yet they want change. That doesn’t make sense. They should want to keep Republicans in office, keep taxes down, keep the Capital Gains Tax capped . . . or even eliminate it, and consider a flat tax. That way, they can continue to get wealthy, fly around in private jets, ride in limos, buy their huge mansions that the rest of the country only dreams of, and try and convince all Americans that they are not better off than they were 8 years ago. That dog just won’t hunt any more, and the tune is getting old.
The reason people are at the malls on Monday and the gym on Tuesday and continuing to cause long lines at most restaurants, sold out screenings of movies and packed stadiums is because they wink and nod at the economic figures knowing it is that season again. It’s that time every four years when they are supposed to appear concerned, but really they just want to get their Vente Caramel Machiata, jump in their SUV and head off to play racket ball. It’s not really the economy stupid . . . it’s the stupid economy that takes on a life of its own every four years, only to readjust naturally, the day after everyone stops telling them . . . “It’s the economy stupid.”
And this, from The Corner on NRO, as Victor Davis Hanson explains far better than I did earlier:
Why Orwell Matters [Victor Davis Hanson]
Here is what Sen. Obama said:
"You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of small towns
in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing's
replaced them...And they fell through the Clinton Administration, and the Bush
Administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these
communities are gonna regenerate and they have not. And it's not surprising
then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people
who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a
way to explain their frustrations."
Here is what Sen. Obama now says he said:
"So I said, 'Well, you know, when you're bitter you turn to what you can count
on,' " he continued. "So people they vote about guns, or they take comfort
from their faith and their family and their community. And they get mad about
illegal immigrants who are coming over to this country or they get frustrated
about, you know, how things are changing. That's a natural response."
1. Note how version #1's "cling" becomes version #2's "vote about" and "take
comfort from"—as the condescending dismissal becomes empathetic understanding.
2. Note how version #1's "religion" and "antipathy to people who aren't like
them" becomes version #2's "faith" and "their family and community" —as
fundamentalist xenophobes now become beleaguered folks who band together
against the unfairness.
3 Note how version #1's "anti-immigrant" becomes version #2's "mad about
illegal immigrants" —as the nativist who opposes all immigrants, legal
and illegal, now becomes understandably angry only about those coming here
illegally.
4. Note how version #1's "as a way to explain their frustrations" becomes
version #2's "they get frustrated about" as the misguided scape-goaters become
those who react understandably to adversity.
5. Note no explanation in version #2 for version #1's "anti-trade
sentiment"—and no wonder since Obama himself is embarrassed that so far he's
voiced far more "anti-trade sentiment" than those he caricatured.
6. Note how version #1's "And it's not surprising then they get bitter"
becomes version #2's "your'e" and "you" and "Thats a natural response", as the
condescending use of the embittered and distant "they" now morphs into a
kindred "you" and the quip "not surprising" becomes the sympathetic "natural."
7. Note how version #1's idiotic logic that Middle-America has only become
religious or pro-gun in the last 25 years as a result of job loss is simply
omitted.
8. Note how there is suddenly no "context" for the landscape of version #1: an elite Bay-area audience that is told stories about those Pennsylvanian gun-toting zealots.
With Obama, the clarifications (cf. the Wright and Michelle contextualizations) are always more interesting than the original lapse.
Carefully and thoroughly done. This will play all week in Pennsylvania, and I think those results are going to tell us all that we need to know about Obama's eventual fate. If he even does well, then what he says doesn't matter in the long run. If he loses big, he's in trouble with the superdelegates at the end of the road.
The Perils of Punditry and deadlines (or What A Difference A Day Makes) in The Guardian:
Then there is the wider picture, which looks bleaker by the day for Clinton. Her strategy now rests entirely on doing enough damage to Obama to make the so-called superdelegates - party officials and elected politicians - swing her way and give her the nomination at the Denver convention.
But Clinton, not Obama, has just suffered a disastrous week of headlines.
The author was writing about how Hillary was hanging on grimly, probably should give up, couldn't see what she was hoping for with the superdelegates. Then, wham!
John and Jim comment on the right-wing freak show, what it did to Algore and Kerry, and might do to Obama:
The last two Democratic nominees, Al Gore and John F. Kerry, were both military veterans, and both had been familiar, highly successful figures in national politics for more than two decades by the time they ran.
Both men lost control of their public images to the right-wing freak show —
that network of operatives and commentators working mostly outside of the
mainstream media — and ultimately lost their elections as many voters came to
see them as elitist, out-of-touch, phony, and even unpatriotic.
Obama is a much less familiar figure than Kerry or Gore, with a life story
that is far more exotic, who is coming out of a political milieu in Chicago
politics that is far more liberal.
The freak show has already signaled its early lines of attack on Obama. Polls
show a significant percentage of Americans believe — falsely — that he is a
Muslim. Voter interviews reveal widespread unease with minor and seemingly
irrelevant questions like why he does not favor American flag pins on his
lapel. Nor have we heard the last about Wright and his fulminations.
Here will be the real kitchen sink: every damaging comment or association from
Obama’s past, mixed together with innuendo and downright fiction, to portray
him as an exotic character of uncertain values and weak patriotism.
Did you catch it? Obama really isn't any of the above, the right-wing freak show is making it all up. The authors will tell the voters what is and is not irrelevant, all others are freaks. It isn't RIGHT to look into Obama's past. Bush's National Guard attendance records? Oh, well, that's different. Not really military service, you know. Not to insult any of the rest of you in the National Guard, you understand...sorry about that part...
How about the validity of the actual questions, instead? Okay, so Obama isn't a Muslim...but why would anyone even imagine that about him, in the first place? Did they worry about Romney being a Muslim or a Mormon preaching polygamy?
Isn't Obama an exotic character? He portrays himself as understanding exotic foreign cultures because of his own life experience, doesn't he? Doesn't he claim that a boyhood in Indonesia made him unique? How can you have it both ways?
What's that? Oh. Sure. Silly question.
Meanwhile, over at Huffington, this self-important know-it-all complains:
So now, Barack Obama tells the truth about conditions as we know them--that the countryside and the small towns are dying in many places in our country, and that the corporatocracy doesn't care enough to do a thing about it. He points out that immigrant-baiting, gay-baiting, gun-baiting, and religious pandering have helped to destroy those towns and that countryside, that those being destroyed have been cynically enlisted by their very own destroyers to provide the votes that help accomplish the destruction.
Of course. Those people don't know they are being manipulated! They are being shamelessly exploited because they are too dumb to know better. And Obama--with this lady's prescient help--can take care of them in their ignorance!
I had to marvel at the complete sense of conviction she displayed. But what else could I expect from someone who
...just spent seven and a half years disagreeing with the administration that has given us an unprecedented military and economic mess. I saw it coming, it came, and in some ways it was worse, and promises to get worse, than I foresaw.
Such humility!
You wonder why she didn't warn us about 9/11 ahead of time. And why she was right for seven and a half years, when Bush spent his first nine months on a completely different agenda than he did after 9/11. No matter, I think this lady is going to be right no matter what happened, or happens.
And those poor people in the countryside and small towns she has flown over so often, well...well, they need our help to understand what Obama really meant when he told them the truth! They're bitter about losing their jobs, and they cling to God and guns as compensation! As well as hating immigrants and free trade, that is.
How religious pandering has helped destroy these towns is apparently so obvious that it doesn't need to be stated, especially since they are clinging to God for salvation at this very moment. You get the impression the author doesn't believe any is coming from that source.
About this point, I find myself scratching my head in amazement and asking myself "who ARE these people?" And then I realize they're Obama fans. Oh. Those...
He isn't going to make it.
Consider Michael Goodwin's take:
Having grown up in one of those small Pennsylvania towns Sen. Barack Obama sneers at, I know what really makes people there "bitter." It's slick-talking politicians who look down on their beliefs and values.
Small-town people get doubly "bitter" when those pols have the gall to ask for their votes while demeaning their lives. See, even hicks don't like being played for suckers.
When they accused Obama of being out of touch for saying small-towners "cling to guns or religion" out of frustration, Sens. Hillary Clinton and John McCain were too kind.
Snob-ama is not just out of touch. He's from another planet.
I'm not thrilled with the "snob-ama" line, but the point is a valid one.
Through his warped vision, if you own a gun, oppose gay marriage or want our nation's borders sealed, you're just bitter over your lousy job. Amazingly, he even sees the embrace of God as a reaction to the bad economy.
As gaffes go, they don't get much bigger. Then again, it's not a gaffe when you believe what you're saying, as Snob-ama clearly does.
And this is his Achilles heel, in my opinion. He doesn't even know he's making a gaffe like this, he has to have it pointed out to him afterward. He really does believe what he's saying. So does his wife, Michelle.
You see, Obama has one huge problem that he cannot do anything about. He is not in any way an ordinary American, let alone an ordinary black American, who grew up from the beginning in American culture, either the good part or the bad part.
I say this not to blame him, but the point is that he did not then and has not subsequently partaken fully of the American middle-class experience, let alone the black experience. Oh, perhaps he's not as clueless as John Kerry, ordering Swiss cheese on his Philly Cheesestake, but in many ways he's close enough. He didn't see anything strange in Pastor Wright's congregation because he didn't know any other kind. Hey, doesn't everybody talk this way?
Ironically, blacks wondered about Obama from the beginning, saying that the fact that he had not lived the black experience in the United States did not really make him "black enough". Now whites are wondering the same thing.
What is truly unfortunate is that he could turn out to be the racially polarizing candidate he says that he did not want to be. Blacks are going to rally around Obama in defense, and whites are going to flee in defense.
What this means--and I know you were waiting for this--is that the first half of the campaign, especially the caucus states, did not mean as much as the final states will, not in terms of the present-day feeling of the electorate.
Assessing this change is the job for which the superdelegates were created.
Hillary knows and is counting on this. Obama is worried about this and wants her to drop out before it can happen.
Pennsylvania and Indiana have turned into key states, after all. If Hillary wins them big, the supers are on the spot, big time. They have to take into account the changed electorate feelings nationwide, despite earlier votes.
What's that? I'm making too much of this Obama gaffe, which might go away as easily as Hillary's sniper fire in Bosnia did? You could be right.
As usual, Maureen Dowd made me laugh!
The 22nd Amendment — not to mention his dwindling political skills — prevents Bill from doing what he truly wants done: the demolition of the Obama phenomenon. Instead, he’s stuck propping up a candidate who is not a natural. (See the video of Hillary dancing at a seniors’ aerobics class at a Philly Y.M.C.A. Awk.)
Bill’s horse whisperer, Doug Sosnik, a former White House aide who was dispatched to keep him calm and play Hearts and Oh Hell with him, has been out of the country recently. His other personable aide, Matt McKenna, left to manage Hillary’s Montana campaign. The Big Dog was unguarded.
Amusingly enough, to me, I don't think Bill's political skills have diminished any, he just no longer has the willing suspension of disbelief that his wife mentioned with regard to Petraeus. He used to argue over the multiple meanings of "is" and everybody marveled, but he really wasn't any different than he is today. It just doesn't work for Maureen any more. Finally, some of us might add.
Given her 3 a.m. ads — (that has got to be her hedge fund manager on the phone) — it was not very flattering for Bill to rant on and suggest that her 60-year-old brain was fuzzy.
That has to be the funniest part about all of this! What will he say next...that she really shouldn't appear before the cameras in a bathing suit on the beach, especially not from the, ah, rear?
Newsweek tries a puff piece about Obama:
"Both as a consequence of living in Indonesia and traveling in Pakistan, having friends in college who were Muslim, I was very clear about the history of Shia-Sunni antagonism"—which is one reason why, as an Illinois state senator 21 years later, he opposed the war in Iraq, Obama told NEWSWEEK last week. "This notion that somehow we were going to be able to create a functioning democracy and reconcile century-old conflicts, I always thought was a bunch of happy talk from this administration."
We can presume that the refrain from "to dream the impossible dream" will not be playing at his coronation.
Stay where you are, you Shia and Sunni, right where you've been for centuries. No chance for you guys, you're out of it.