Blogito, Ergo Sum
by Gregg Calkins
5 December 2010, a Sunday
State budgets are the next approaching crisis, we hear, but the good news is:
Derek Jeter’s signing with the Yankees is a reminder of what the pilot sometimes says over the intercom after he has landed the plane: the safest part of your day is now over.Now it gets complicated, as Jeter heads toward 37 next June 26. The Yankees have committed to a three-year contact, three years somewhere north of $15 million per year, making him the highest-paid shortstop for the moment.
I smiled at
the NYT editorial about Utah this morning:Not all the political news this year involves the rise of partisan extremism and government by rage. There has been lots of that. But maybe there is a limit, a point when people of good sense and good will band together to say no. As they have just done in Utah.
Political, business, law-enforcement and religious leaders there have endorsed what they call the Utah Compact. It is a statement of principles meant to address, with moderation and civility, "the complex challenges associated with a broken national immigration system." What a welcome contrast it draws with the xenophobic radicalism of places like Arizona.
I have to wonder if the NYTimes editors have even been to Utah at all? Other than for skiing it is the ultimate fly-over country...in fact, the state probably still has only the one major international airport, if that. For many years conventions wouldn’t even book Utah because of their anti-alcohol laws.
I spent my high school and college years in Utah, 11 in all, and spent one summer working on the state’s first geologic map, so I’ve personally driven the majority of Utah’s paved and unpaved roads and passed through the vast majority of the state’s communities. For years after I graduated I took my family back to Utah and Arizona and sometimes Montana for family vacations. I’m not a stranger to the state.
Things have changed now, I realize, but Utah came into being as just about as xenophobic as a state could possibly be. Formed by people who literally fled for their lives, not all of them succeeding, and then subsequently invaded and occupied by the Union Army, Utah was not welcoming to strangers and particularly non-Mormons. Up until the civil rights act it was a tenet of their faith that black people were colored place for a particular reason, and it was a negative one.
When I went to college in "cosmopolitan" Salt Lake City there were still jobs and apartments you could not get if you were not a Mormon. We’re not talking about black or Hispanic here, we’re talking about totally white people born in the USA of families who had been citizens since the original colonies were settled.
Utah’s southern border is a formidable one and as far as I can remember I never knew a single Hispanic resident when I went to high school in Tropic and traveled around that part of the state to basketball and baseball games. Nor had I seen any black students until I got to college and our basketball center was "Billy the Hill" McGill. I worked several years for the Forest Service in what we called "the black part of town"...and it was pretty segregated, as you might imagine, since they weren’t welcomed in the LDS church that enthusiastically, their scriptural background taken into consideration.
Utah was xenophobic then and they have no doubt come a long way, baby, but I sort of suspect they’re still more xenophobic than most. They certainly do NOT have Arizona’s problematic border and flood of illegals to deal with, and I have to wonder exactly how much of their public do-gooder attitude is based on this telling final paragraph:
...a new study by the liberal Center for American Progress calculated that Arizona had lost hundreds of millions of dollars in convention and other business, thanks to the notoriety from its immigration crackdown.
I love Utah and get along very well with the Mormons even though I never was one, it’s really the only state I’d consider living in again, but one of the things we realized from the very first when we moved there from California was that their tourism industry wasn’t even close to being the money-maker that it could be (I think it’s the most beautiful and varied state in the country, over-all, with some of the best skiing) because of their restrictive liquor laws. Since those, and the state, were effectively controlled by the LDS church, they took decades to relax to even present-day standards.
So, no, Utah does not want to take the economic hit that Arizona did, thanks to the liberal press, and I think they’re being a little deceptive in pretending to have solved a problem that the really don’t have the same way that Arizona does.
Not that I’d expect an editor living in New York City to have any good idea what Utah was like. And change since my time has been largely localized. Several years ago we went back for a family vacation, landing in Las Vegas and driving through all of the national parks, including a trip to the north rim of Grand Canyon, then up to a high school reunion for me, and up to Salt Lake City to pass by my university and fraternity house, including a trip across the desert to my thesis area, so I revisited quite a lot of my old home state and found quite a lot of the old family residents in the smaller towns and cities, the descendents of the original Mormon pioneer immigrants into Indian territories, to be not all that much different.
What’s that? Could I write a similar Op-ed about New York City? Not a chance in the world. I’ve never been there, never plan to go, and although two of my best lifetime friends came from there and I heard their stories, I personally don’t know the first thing about what daily life there is like.
Well, on to the tax issue:
Why is it I think the Republicans will give up on the "permanent" issue and the Democrats will then go along for the whole thing at which point everyone will extend the unemployment benefits and all claim victory?
Okay, for humor we go to
Maureen Dowd:It’s unclear why McCain is being so stubborn and stalling, particularly when those closest to him — his wife, his daughter and his cloakroom buddy Joe Lieberman — have all boldly spoken out on behalf of gays in the military.
Uh, maybe because he is the only one of all of them to actually have served in the military? Whether he is right or wrong, could it be that he has had experiences they have never had? Perhaps his "cloakroom buddy" isn’t gay?
Lieberman, following an indignant McCain on the panel Thursday, asserted, "It’s just wrong and un-American to discriminate against people based on their sexual orientation."
So why don’t male and female service people all live and shower together? Why do we read periodic newspaper stories about the how and why of female sportswriters being denied access to the dressing rooms of male jocks? When Maureen goes to bed with someone, doesn’t she employ any standard of sexual discrimination? All are equal? Why do we have women’s basketball teams and men’s basketball teams? For that matter, why are public restrooms segregated by sex? Does Maureen expect to find men in her bathroom at the NYTimes building? Would she feel the same level of comfort showering with a newly arrived male colleague as she would with a newly arrived female colleague? (If she wouldn’t feel comfortable showering with either one, what does that tell us about discrimination? If you discriminate against more than one group it cancels out? The right to privacy supersedes sexual discrimination...unless you are in the military?)
Certainly the answers are obvious: of COURSE we make certain discriminations based upon sexual orientation. We do it all the time. It’s normal, it’s human...well, for that matter, even animals know the differences involved.
The question isn’t about whether or not gays should serve any more than it is about whether women should serve in the military, it’s about the degree of physical proximity and intimacy which should be forced upon people who prefer not to find themselves the subject of unwanted sexual invasion of privacy.
Even clothed. Why do big-breasted women complain that they don’t like the way men sometimes look at them? What’s funny about a t-shirt with an up-arrow on the woman’s breasts saying "my face is up here"? If sexual harassment can consist of a woman simply being looked at the ‘wrong’ way by a straight male, why isn’t the same thing true for straight men being looked at by gay men? The idea would appear to be that it isn’t possible to sexually harass males, especially straight males...and what kind of discrimination is that?
If you truly aren’t going to discriminate in any way on the basis of sexual orientation then straight men and women plus gays and lesbians should all serve in the military under exactly the same circumstances with respect to one another. Anything else is discriminatory.
We need to find some compromise. I’ll bet the issue would be reduced for straight men if they got to shower with straight women and even physically attractive lesbians, figuring the trade-off would be worth it, but maybe that’s just me.
Frank Rich is even funnier than Maureen, as he finds Obama suffering from "Stockholm Syndrome":This dynamic was acted out — yet again — in President Obama’s latest and perhaps most humiliating attempt to placate his Republican captors in Washington. No sooner did he invite the G.O.P.’s Congressional leaders to a post-election White House summit meeting than they countered his hospitality with a slap — postponing the date for two weeks because of "scheduling conflicts." But they were kind enough to reschedule, and that was enough to get Obama to concentrate once more on his captors’ "good side."
Unless Obama is a more-common name than I thought, this would apparently be the same President Obama who received his minority Republican captors in 2008 with more like a slug in the chops than a slap.
"I won!" he told them bluntly. No "see you around in a couple of weeks" or anything like that for him. He had no intention of showing Republicans any kind of good side. I won and you did not, end of conversation. The Republicans took him at his word.
This year, not all that long before offering to let his Republican captors come to meet with him, he told the press that Republicans were going to be allowed to come along on his ride, but they’d have to sit in the back of his new bus.
Yeah, he sure humbled himself, didn’t he?
Which might indicate the nature of the problem that he and Frank Rich share. Namely, both of them are so unaware of their own unconscious arrogance that they think that everything that they do towards Republicans besides actually spitting in their eye constitutes gracious hospitality. I mean, who wouldn’t accept a seat in the back with a heartfelt "thanks, massa!" happy to just be allowed to ride with the other folks? What was the matter with Ms Parks, anyhow, that she couldn’t see that?
And so, as the big bipartisan event finally arrived last week, he handed them an unexpected gift, a freeze on federal salaries.
If you foolishly thought this was the kind of action that a responsible president should have taken for the good of his fellow American citizens then you would be wrong. It was a gift intended solely for his Republican captors. And being not for the American people, but purely as a gift to Republicans, they should have been more appreciative of how far down he stooped to bestow it.
Amusingly, even Rich admits that Obama was making a worthless offer, as he complains:
The captors will win this battle, if they haven’t already by the time you read this, because Obama has seemingly surrendered his once-considerable abilities to act, decide or think. That pay freeze made as little sense intellectually as it did politically.
And yet he still thinks it was a gift for Republicans which they should have fallen all over themselves accepting gratefully because, well, they have little intellectual sense?
It will save the government a scant $5 billion over two years and will actually cost the recovery at least as much, since much of that $5 billion would have been spent on goods and services by federal workers with an average yearly income of $75,000. By contrast, the extension of the Bush tax cuts to the $250,000-plus income bracket will add $80 billion to the deficit in two years, much of which will just be banked by the wealthier beneficiaries.
And we all know that money should be spent as fast as people get their hands on it, none should be saved for their own rainy days let along turned into capital that the banks could, ah, loan to people who want business loans to expand and hire, foolish things like that.
I guess Frank Rich didn’t read the guy I quoted the other day, the one who told us that the recovery would begin and unemployment be cut 2% if the tax-cut money was spent on 3 million $30,000 a year jobs. Now Mr Rich tells us $75,000 a year salaries should not be frozen in order to help do that.
No, Mr Rich complains, all Obama did was...
...just hand the Republicans a fiscal olive branch that they could then use as a stick to beat him.
And an intellectually meaningless olive branch at that. What really hurts is that the tiny olive branch extended turned out to be such an effective stick...but wielded by his own Democrats! Mr Rich, right here, does a pretty good job of telling us how little it really meant and how bad an idea it was...Republicans don’t even have to open their mouths, merely hold up the pages of this column.
This presidency has been one long blur of such "negotiations" — starting with the not-on-C-Span horse-trading that allowed corporate players to blunt health care and financial regulatory reform. Next up is a "negotiation" with the United States Chamber of Commerce, which has spent well over $100 million trying to shoot down Obama’s policies over the last two years. It’s enough to arouse nostalgia for the "beer summit" with Henry Louis Gates Jr. and the Cambridge cop, which at least was transparent and did no damage to the public interest.
Oops. Since the Republicans chose to sit out the health care issue, the "party of no" actually being the party of "no, I’m not taking responsibility for this fiasco," Rich is now forced to blame the "corporate players" instead. Saying "corporate players" is a lot like saying "George Bush"...people are supposed to reflexively recoil when those words are heard.
Mr Obama did not negotiate with the Chamber of Commerce until after his two-year war on "corporate players" who were members of the Chamber had resulted in the biggest demise of Democrats in the House of Representatives in living memory. Still, as Obama pointed out, HE didn’t lose, THEY did.
And I knew he was one of us, and a supporter of law enforcement, when I saw him proudly lift his stein and knock that baby back rather than sip it like a fine white wine. Transparent it indeed was. The YouTube video of Obama nonchalantly striding ahead down the steps while the cop solicitously assisted the handicapped professor down the steps behind him was particularly illuminating. If you recall, the cop got in trouble in the first place because he thought he was helping prevent the professor’s home from being burglarized, the only reason he was there to begin with.
Wait, though, Rich gets even funnier:
The cliché criticisms of Obama are (from the left) that he is a naïve centrist, not the audacious liberal that Democrats thought they were getting, and (from the right) that he is a socialist out to impose government on every corner of American life. But the real problem is that he’s so indistinct
no one across the entire political spectrum knows who he is.But that’s his entire life story in a nutshell. Not only across the political spectrum but all across America, no one knows who he is. You can count on the fingers of one hand the things about Obama that you know absolutely for sure and in as much detail as you’d hope to know about your daughter’s first date. Where are you from, son, and what do your folks do for a living, and how are your grades in school?
As for Obama, didn’t he spend time as a senator in Illinois? Can’t we discern from his votes there what kind of politician he is? Okay, during President Bush’s last two years in office Senator Obama was among the majority Democrats who opposed everything Bush did...doesn’t that contain any clue? Yes, I know, Republicans are not supposed to behave that way toward Obama today, it’s too partisan, but what about then? How did he vote on those issues?
Mr Rich says that his years in both senates plus two years as president have left Obama, ah, indistinct. No one knows who he is.
And Mr Rich is not exactly your poster-child right-wing conservative.
Look, let’s throw away all conspiracy theories, all of the socialist talk, all of the racist business, all of the partisan anti-Obama rhetoric and try to take as plain a view of the facts as we can, okay? Let’s be fair and take two voices which are both very liberal and very Democrat...Mr Rich and Hillary...and skip what Obama’s detractors say about him.
Obama is simply an ineffective president because he has no previous experience at being any kind of executive, chief or otherwise, and he has no track record in school or anywhere else to give us any confidence in the belief that he will somehow miraculously succeed in the on-the-job training program Hillary warned about.
Mr Rich doesn’t know who Obama is because Obama’s background has been almost completely obscured, whether by accident or intent makes no difference in the end with respect to what we know. Indistinct? If it were not for his own two autobiographies, of a certainty impartial, what other sources could we turn to in order to learn enough to bring him into stronger focus?
The fact that Frank Rich cites Obama’s "beer summit" as the only example of his transparency which did no damage to the public interest should be reason enough for worry.
We’re now at the brink of a new economic disaster that will eventually yank a chicken out of every pot. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities calculates that the extended Bush-era tax cuts will contribute by far the largest share to the next decade’s deficits ... Obama should have pounded home the case against profligate tax cuts for the wealthiest before the Democrats lost the Senate.
Yes, somehow we smoothly segued between the total amount of the Bush-era tax cuts and only those "profligate" tax cuts for "the wealthiest" as if they were one and the same. I noticed. Did you notice that the Democrats now represent the wealthiest people in the country and the Republicans no longer hold that distinction? No? Hmmm...do you think that might explain why they haven’t been as eager as Mr Rich expects them to be in raising those taxes?
Occam’s Razor says look for the simplest explanation. If Obama did not pound home the case when Democrats held the Senate, what would be the simplest explanation for why not?
Even now Warren Buffett — not a socialist, by the way — is making the case with a Christie-esque directness that usually eludes the president. "The rich are always going to say that, you know, just give us more money and we’ll all go out and spend more, and then it will trickle down to the rest of you," he told Christiane Amanpour on "This Week" last Sunday. "But that has not worked the last 10 years, and I hope the American public is catching on."
Mr Buffett, a man who very profitably employs those assets NOT taxed away by the government does not pay one penny more in taxes than he absolutely is forced to do. Mr Buffett knows full well, because this is what he does for a living, that the rich make money not by spending it so it will trickle down but by investing it so it will build up. You don’t make GM healthy by buying a Chevrolet from them, you make GM healthy by making enough investment capital available to them so that they can employ enough people to build enough Chevrolets to sell to a lot of people.
Poor people don’t have that investment capital available. Neither do the banks...unless the wealthiest banked their excess rather than spending it.
You have to admit it’s kind of funny watching that ball being batted back and forth every few years. One year Americans are in trouble, we’re told, because they don’t save enough and therefore there’s a capital shortage. The next year the wealthy don’t spend enough, they’re putting their money in the bank, instead.
American businesses seem to be sitting on quite a lot of cash these days. They don’t seem to be in a hurry to spend it because four years of Democrat control of both houses of congress, the last two including the presidency, have left them uncertain as to what their future obligations are going to be, particularly with respect to health care and taxes. Nor do they know what the new congress will do yet.
But that’s a lot of cash sitting there, depreciating and earning a low rate of interest, and Warren Buffett, no matter what he tells television shows, is positioning himself and his investors to take maximum advantage of the upturn when it comes.
If it comes in time, one of the grateful beneficiaries will be Barack Obama. Don’t be surprised if after he appears to argue heroically against tax cuts for the wealthy that he eventually very reluctantly gives in.
Do liberals never figure it out?
Tom Friedman rides his anti-oil hobby horse:That brings us to the sobering message in so many of these cables: America lacks leverage. America lacks leverage in the Middle East because we are addicted to oil. We are the addicts and they are the pushers, and addicts never tell the truth to their pushers.
When we import $28 billion a month in oil, we can’t say to the Saudis: "We know the guys who would come after you would be much worse, but why do we have to choose between your misrule and corruption and their brutality and intolerance?" We’re just stuck supporting a regime that, sure, fights Al Qaeda at home, but uses our money to fund a religious ideology, schools, mosques and books that ensure that Al Qaeda will always have a rich pool of recruits in Saudi Arabia and abroad. We also lack leverage with the Chinese on North Korea, or with regard to the value of China’s currency, because we’re addicted to their credit.
Geopolitics is all about leverage. We cannot make ourselves safer abroad unless we change our behavior at home. But our politics never connects the two.
Think how different our conversations with Saudi Arabia would be if we were in the process of converting to electric cars powered by nuclear, wind, domestic natural gas and solar power? We could tell them that if we detect one more dollar of Saudi money going to the Taliban then they can protect themselves from Iran.
Imagine what leverage we would have if the Saudis told us, in return, that they understood very damn well that when the time came that we no longer needed their oil we’d drop them like a hot potato and walk away? As a result, they would say, they didn’t feel one damn bit more loyalty to us than we did to them, and since they knew we were untrustworthy, supporting them only out of our own need, not because we were truly friends and allies, they decided to cut a long-term deal with China now rather than dick around with us until such time as we found it convenient to abandon them.
Osama bin Laden, a man they remember well, said that he expected to win the war in Iraq because America, when push came to shove, would abandon those allies the same way that they did the South Vietnamese. And, oh yes, we most certainly did do that. We signed a three-way peace agreement (Kerry and Fonda were present but did not sign) which promised that We’d Be Back if North Vietnam acted up again, you can count on us, we said...but it turned out that they could not.
We offered one high-ranking South Vietnamese escape on one of our last helicopters out, you remember those famous shots of poor allies hanging off of the helicopter skids for dear life, but he refused, saying he’d rather die with honor than flee with people like us. Oh, yeah, we most certainly lost the war in Vietnam, all right. We lost when we failed to honor our word.
If we wanted to make deadly enemies out of the Saudis overnight we could start by making the technological "green" discovery or invention which would make us totally independent of imported oil. No, I’m wrong, that would only make them hate us more than they do now. No, if we wanted them to become mortal enemies we’d share our discovery/invention with the whole world.
The last thing the Saudis want is to go back to being only goatherds and camel drivers. They may from time to time scream about our stealing their oil, but the last thing they want is for us to ever say thanks, we don’t need to buy any more of it.
And the more that we invest in alternate-energy sources, the closer the Saudis know that day will be...just like Tom Friedman does.
Tom thinks he has discovered a negotiating tool. King Saudi, we will protect you from Iran and buy $28 billion a month of your oil even if we don’t need it, but only if you behave, so play the game our way or else we will quit buying. Come on, what the hell kind of bluff is that? How stupid would they have to be to believe we would buy their oil just in order to be nice?
Think how different our conversations with China would be if we had had a different savings rate the past 30 years and China was not holding $900 billion in U.S. Treasury securities — but was still dependent on the U.S. economy and technology.
Oops...here’s another guy who suddenly seems to think that the millionaires who put their tax breaks into savings accounts are actually doing some good!
Tell me something...would you rather owe China $900 billion they wanted to eventually collect and thus needed to keep you healthy in order to do so, or would you rather have China owe YOU $900 billion you needed some way to get back somehow if they told you to go piss up a rope?
One thing the banks learned the hard way when the borrower defaulted on a loan which was made for far too much money on a house far too overvalued...foreclosure at a huge loss gained you a house you had to maintain in order to keep from it losing even more value, but didn’t help a bit in getting your money back.
Even in good times lenders did not make money on foreclosures, because if the house was worth more than the loan balance the owner would sell it, instead, and pocket the difference.
Make no mistake...China buys treasury debt because it considers doing so to be good for China, not to benefit the United States, and they’ll stop doing so the instant they no longer feel that way. The US, likewise, will stop buying K-Mart stuff from China at the same time and for the same reasons.
Which brings to mind yet another way to make the rest of the world hate us. Balance the budget, better yet run a surplus, and issue no more t-bills and t-bonds to anyone. Oh, yeah, millions of investors will love that.
Here’s a good one to think about:Marilynne Robinson’s Absence of Mind: The Dispelling of Inwardness from the Modern Myth of the Self is a tough read. Much of the book, originally delivered as the Terry Lectures at Yale, is annoyingly academic and recondite — and my own annoyance with it made me realize how conditioned we have all become to polemic, and to the association of polemic with populism, its implicit equation with democratic virtue. ...
Well, yes. Robinson’s essays unapologetically reside at a rarefied altitude. Much of the time, reading them — with their lofty subtlety, learnéd name-dropping, and aversion to straight talk — is like walking in on the middle of an academic theological discussion hundreds of years long, still being carried on in certain sheltered venues ... in willed unawareness that out there in the world’s center of mass, "academy" has become a dirty word.
Too bad, because if a polemicist is a street fighter, in your face with a flurry of fists, Robinson is a ninja, around behind you cutting your airway—at least if you’re Pinker, Dennett, or Dawkins...
If you can’t wait to finish that, see you next time when you get back.