Blogito, Ergo Sum
by Gregg Calkins
8 December 2010, a Wednesday
Seems like everyone wants to get in on this now, as the NYTimes joins us
with:President Obama’s compromise with Republicans on extending tax cuts for the wealthy, which his self-described progressive critics see as a profound betrayal, is bound to intensify a debate that has been bubbling up on liberal blogs and e-mail lists in recent weeks — whether or not the president who embodied "hope and change" in 2008 should face a primary challenge in 2012. ...
Just last weekend, three liberal writers made the case for taking on Mr. Obama in 2012. Michael Lerner, longtime editor of Tikkun magazine, argued in The Washington Post that a primary represented a "real way to save the Obama presidency," by forcing Mr. Obama to move leftward. Robert Kuttner, co-founder of The American Prospect and one of the party’s most scathing populist voices, issued a similar call on The Huffington Post, suggesting Iowa as the ideal incubator.
On the same site, Clarence B. Jones, a one-time confidant of the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr., suggested that liberals should break with Mr. Obama now, just as Dr. King and others did with Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968. "It is not easy to consider challenging the first African-American to be elected president of the United States," Mr. Jones wrote. "But, regrettably, I believe the time has come to do this." ...
It probably isn’t coincidental that none of the last four American presidents to face primaries while seeking re-election — Johnson, Gerald R. Ford, Carter and George H. W. Bush — survived to serve another term.
In other words, should the president’s progressive critics warm to the idea, it might not take a particularly credible primary challenge to weaken Mr. Obama’s chances for re-election. It might only take a challenge designed to do exactly that.
Not from his right, but from his own left wing. As Obama says in self-defense:
Mr. Obama seemed frustrated at a news conference on Tuesday about being pilloried by liberals who haven’t had to wrestle with the realities of governing. "I’ve got a whole bunch of lines in the sand," Mr. Obama protested.
In fact, he might have continued, I add a new one every day. Is it my fault the rising tide has been wiping them out?
So how do we spin the latest one?
Despite anger from Congressional Democrats, President Obama’s tax plan is intended to help short-term job creation.
Ah...that’s what it was, really.
And note the slight change in the language the NYT uses this morning...and words count, as I’m sure you remember from Orwell and others:
They are no longer described as "the rich" or "the wealthy" but as the highest earners, an important change in terms of populist rhetoric. Obama might even draw that line next.
Meanwhile, in Iowa, a group known as the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, originally founded to aid Democratic Congressional candidates in 2010, has started broadcasting an advertisement that shows Mr. Obama, in 2008, promising to reverse the tax cuts for the most affluent Americans.
Now he can point out that the highest earners in any given year might not actually represent "the affluent" at all. America’s wealthiest people have more ways than you can shake a stick at...ask John Kerry, who was saving a bundle in taxes just by where he chose to berth his newest yacht. No, I am not making this up.
BRISBANE, Australia (Reuters) - The Australian government Wednesday blamed the United States, not the WikiLeaks founder, for the unauthorized release of about 250,000 secret U.S. diplomatic cables and said those who originally leaked the documents were legally liable.
Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd also said the leaks raised questions over the "adequacy" of U.S. security over the cables.
Not my fault, said the president, I drew a really firm line in the sand on this one.
Tom Friedman tries his hand at helping Obama:Given where we are, this tax-cut deal with the Republicans is the best President Obama could do since raising taxes in a recession would not have been a good idea and the Republicans had the votes to prevent it.
Uh, Tom...the tax cut bill was going to expire without anything needing to be voted upon, and the Republicans did NOT have enough votes to prevent that from happening,
Moreover, the Republicans do not have enough votes to pass this new revision...the Democrats are going to have to pass it or else it won’t fly.
Which is why we’re suddenly reading about how it’s really some sort of job-creation bill, and a "plan that will help nearly all" and other good things about it...the Democrats are going to have to justify their votes somehow now. Well, Tom is quite a comedian when he wants to be:
Surely the cynical quote of the week — courtesy of The Daily Beast — goes to Dan Bartlett, the former George W. Bush administration spokesman who was speaking about the tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans that Bush "temporarily" put in place a decade ago: "We knew that, politically, once you get it into law, it becomes almost impossible to remove it. That’s not a bad legacy. The fact that we were able to lay the trap does feel pretty good, to tell you the truth."
You are to be forgiven if "Casablanca" springs to mind with Mr Friedman playing the role of Captain Renault, the police inspector who proclaimed himself to be shocked, shocked, to discover gambling was going on. I think the most cynical quote here is Tom’s, myself...either that or he really is the naïve bumbler that he sometimes seems to be, particularly when he advocates raising gasoline taxes for Americans as a way to keep petrodollars out of the hands of terrorist sheiks.
"Fungible" appears to be another word he does not recognize, not to mention that China and India will happily buy oil from those people if the price is right. Which it will be as America taxes what remains of its industry to a halt.
Read Tuesday’s
Cynically stunned, that is, because Republicans have been complaining very loudly for years about how poor a job was being done in the nation’s schools, blaming those people actually running those schools at the same time that Democrats were doing everything they could to protect them. They are unionized, you understand, and unions like to vote in blocks...in fact, their members don’t even have to fill out their ballots in order to have their votes cast for them. And the trial lawyers, who are not suffering from the effects of the recession, know how to add their numbers very well.
Why, when students fail, don’t we turn to the teachers for an explanation? Who else but the teachers can—and should—fix whatever is broken? NB: my daughter is a teacher and my wife is an unpaid teacher’s assistant.
Economics is not war. It can be win-win, so it’s good for the world if China is doing better. But it can’t be good for America if every time we come to a hard choice we borrow more money from a country that is not just out-saving and out-hustling us, but is also starting to out-educate us. We need a plan.
My plan would include having Op-ed columnists write truthfully rather than cynically. How many times have you read recently that tax cuts for the middle class will boost the economy because those people will go right out and spend the money? Hey, have you read recently how unemployment benefits do the same thing? Ask Nancy Pelosi, uncontradicted by Mr Friedman.
Well, how about the agonized complaint that "the wealthy" won’t immediately spend their tax cut money to help boost the economy, instead they are going to...are you ready for this shocker?...put it in the bank and save it! So Tom actually advocates saving more, just not by the people with the money to actually do so...he’d rather see those savings go to additional income taxes which would somehow, well, solve all of the problems Tom complained about needing fixing.
Why, when the choice is between either needing more savings or needing more taxes do liberals choose more taxes and then say they are shocked, shocked do you hear, when economic growth does not recover?
Nor do we "borrow money from China" when the Treasury puts T-bills and T-bonds on the investment market, since they are open for purchase to all comers. Tom might even have a few in his own portfolio...lots of people do, including pension funds, retirement plans, and so on. If the Chinese have money to invest in America then where did they get it from?
Mr Friedman will praise to the skies the Chinese "green" energy efforts and how this will save the planet from destructive warming, yet fail to mention that those Chinese are building more coal-fired power plants producing more and more carbon dioxide every year, even if they do boast "clean" technology while doing so, and openly admit that they aren’t planning on damaging THEIR economy by making any ridiculous promises to cut CO2 levels back to where they were in the past.
They aren’t cynical about that part, even if they did try to keep it quiet during the recent Olympic Games held there that they had to shut down—temporarily—enough polluting industries to enable the athletes to perform without suffering permanent inhalation damages. Those industries were re-started after the foreign visitors left.
Tom loves China and their government’s ability to do things like that when necessary, and he’d gladly do the same to America’s remaining conventional power plants if he could, saving the planet while destroying the American economy...or maybe just crippling it enough through taxation so that his taxpayer-subsidized green energy technology investments could become economically competitive as a result.
Well, there’s the beginning of my plan...let’s begin with some honest and non-cynical reporting to begin with, that ought to be a start.
Richard Cohen thinks Friedman is full of it regarding savings, although he doesn’t mention him by name:You will note the faux equality. The middle class gets something; the rich get something. Does the middle class deserve its something? Yes. It not only could use the money, but it will spend and that will help the economy.
Do the rich deserve their something? ... They already have so much, and the budget is in deficit, and the national debt is growing. Could they manage if the tax rates were restored to what they had once been? They might have to get rid of a horse or two and otherwise struggle, but because they are made of stern stuff -- that's why they are rich in the first place -- they will muddle through.
And what will the rich do with their something? Pocket it, most likely. They will not run out to Target or Sam's Club and in this way help the economy. No, they already have all they need. They will save what they're getting and won't even notice it. I know this because some of my closest friends are rich.
You will note the faux economic theory. While spending at Target or Sam’s Club helps the economy, he says the amount that the rich spend on horses, say, does not. If you are a horse breeder or work at a plant producing horse feed or even bridles, boots, saddles, any of the things horses (and, similarly, yachts) you don’t fit Cohen’s picture of a deserving member of the economy.
Well, Cohen says, it would be better if the government taxed away the money the rich would have otherwise saved. If you aren’t really a capitalist at heart then you don’t really know where capital comes from, I suppose,. On alternate weeks Mr Cohen complains about the banks not lending to the deserving middle class borrower, but he presumes that banks can merely print money if they need more, or else borrow it from the Fed (apparently unaware that it is composed of private banks) or somewhere, somehow, he doesn’t know, but they ought to be lending more of it.
It has not occurred to Mr Cohen, as he wonders where the "good" manufacturing jobs went that "the economy" consists of more than sales of Chinese manufactured goods at Target and Sam’s Club, who won’t be hiring any of the hundreds of thousands of jobless he wants unemployment extended to cover (and never end? or at least not until the economy recovers?), that economic expansion requires capital in order to hire and expand, and capital comes from savers and investors...you know, the rich.
Still, the various editorial boards are right. For the sake of the economy, the deal has to be done. What is amazing, though, is how President Obama, holding the cards of economic logic and moral virtue, managed to be outfoxed by the GOP. What kind of inept politician cannot cow the opposition into backing down from defending the rich and, at the same time, adding almost a $1 trillion to the deficit?
Up above Mr Cohen noted that the rich already have so much and the budget is in deficit and the national debt is growing...why shouldn’t their taxes go back up to where they were if not doing so adds $1 trillion to the deficit? Doesn’t not raising their taxes even further, an additional one or two percent, maybe even five, since they can afford it, "add" another trillion or two, then?
Of course it does, since by Cohen’s logic the deficit does not come as a result of spending but as a result of not collecting enough taxes from the rich.
I wonder what he would suggest if we continued to hike those taxes on those friends of his, taking more and more away every year with every hike...and yet the budget was still in deficit and the national debt still growing?
Which leads to the logical question: how much can the government tax people, especially the rich who can afford it, in order to ensure there will never again be another budget deficit?
Now I have no rich friends to hear complain about faux equality, nor am I among them myself, so in that sense I have no dog in this hunt...or maybe I should say horse in this race. (Just as well, as the middle class will have no horse races to attend with the rich unable to buy additional horses, or breed them.)
Just the same, I can see that a capitalist society requires capital in order to function and grow, create businesses and jobs and produce economic goods. And I can see that the government can continue to take away those capital savings from the rich in the form of ever-higher taxes, even until the rich are no better off than the middle-class job seekers, and yet doing that will never guarantee the avoidance of a budget deficit.
I don’t find Tom Friedman very often correct, but when he points out that one of America’s economic problems has been the low savings rate which has not created enough capital accumulation to put to productive economic use then I have to say that he has a point.
Mr Cohen represents the best of current public economic thinking...spend all that you can now, don’t save anything for the future. The banks will only pay you as little interest as they can while loaning your money out to someone who wants to build a factory or some other kind of business, maybe manufacture solar cells or something, and that money will be far better taxed away and spent by the government in order to ensure there will never be another budget deficit.
The
BBC reports from Cancun and I’ve taken the liberty of excerpting a couple of lines:UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon warned
"Business as usual cannot be tolerated, for it would condemn millions - no,
billions - of children, women and men around the world to shrinking horizons
and smaller futures."
The top UN climate official, Christiana Figueres, said the fate of low-lying
islands should be "a wake-up call".The task of finding compromise between
these apparently implacably opposed positions falls to UK Climate Secretary
Chris Huhne and Brazilian Environment Minister Izabella Teixeira.
That, according to the charity Oxfam, could have "a significantly negative impact on the process".
Mr Huhne agreed that the stakes were high. Without movement here, he suggested, some governments would downgrade the importance they placed on the UN convention and its potential to deliver a meaningful climate pact.
It appears, however, that Mr Huhne may have to fly back to London on Wednesday evening to take part in Thursday's vote in the House of Commons on university tuition fees.
Which obviously tells you how important he believes the threat to be to the world, if they don't measure up to the level of a vote on university tuition fees.
Back to chuckling over politics. With Obama’s credibility on the line, and the Democrats in the position of having to vote in favor of his plan in order for it to pass, now
Ruth Marcus suddenly discovers something she never noticed before:Maybe I'm getting carried away because it is the season to believe in miracles, but the tax-cut deal just might turn out to be a blessing in disguise.
Now, it seems, Ruth had belatedly discovered how little the Democrats have been bitching about.
...the downside of the deal is not the marginal cost - about $70 billion - of extending the upper-income tax cuts for another few years along with the middle-class ones.
In less-honest times they call it $1 trillion by calculating it for ten years and round it up. I say why not calculate them for 100 years and make the number look truly gigantic?
It is fair to suspect that Republicans are more focused on defeating the president in 2012 than in crafting a bipartisan tax deal.
Yes, it is...and Democrats are probably more interested in reelecting him then crafting a bipartisan tax deal, too. But if you truly believe, as a clear majority of the country say is the case in poll after poll, that Obama is leading the country in the wrong direction, then defeating him ought to be the goal of all of those voters, independents and Democrats alike. What, should they sacrifice four more years of going the wrong way in return for some bipartisan tax cuts? Is that really sensible?